PnL all-time−$375vol $16.8k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$235cash n/a
Positions11 / 14open / all-time
Max drawdown−43.0%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$375below peak −$314Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
11/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 50.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable38
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity57
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? · Yesopen−$200Will Angelina Keeley be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week? · Yesopen−$60Will Charlie Davis be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week? · Yesopen−$60Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$50Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United? · Yesclosed−$46
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | Yes | 235 | 42.5¢ | 100¢ | $235 | +$135 | $0 | |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 12.5k | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | 883 | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will "DÁKITI" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Yes | 481 | 5.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Angelina Keeley be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week? | Yes | 473 | 12.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Will Rizo Velovic be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week? | Yes | 448 | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will Charlie Davis be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week? | Yes | 408 | 14.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | Yes | 345 | 58¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | $0 | |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9? | Yes | 313 | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Roy Cooper be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | 178 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | $0 | |
| Will Thailand win Miss Universe 2025? | Yes | 56 | 18¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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