sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Mangy62

0xcc5…df9b
PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$11.9kvol $538k
PnL 30d+$2,345gains $2,695 · losses $9.04
PnL 7d+$793win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate78.9%adj 76.2% · 30d 97.1%
Open value$11.2kcash n/a
Positions159 / 349open / all-time
Max drawdown−84.8%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$14.6kbelow peak −$41.9kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 78.9% · shrunk toward 50%91
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity15

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes13.0k47.3¢62.5¢$8,123+$1,974$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2,00038¢62.5¢$1,250+$490$0
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes2,23637.6¢31.5¢$704−$135$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes73057¢62.5¢$456+$40$0
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes50085¢89.5¢$447+$22$0
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes12190¢93.8¢$113+$4.53$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No4151¢95.5¢$39+$18$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes6946¢43.5¢$30−$1.72$0
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,0001.4¢0.7¢$6.50−$7.50$0
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?Yes6727¢6.8¢$4.51−$14$0
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1925.3¢0.1¢$0.02−$4.91$0
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?No23.6k62.8¢0¢$0−$14.9k$0
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Yes20.5k60.7¢0¢$0−$12.4k$0
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?Yes13.1k45¢0¢$0−$5,884$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?Yes12.4k10¢0¢$0−$1,238$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?No9,27772.4¢0¢$0−$6,712$0
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?Yes7,56224.4¢0¢$0−$1,843$0
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No7,4297¢0¢$0−$520$0
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?Yes6,37431.8¢0¢$0−$2,026$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes5,45447.7¢0¢$0−$2,604$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes5,0003.3¢0¢$0−$165$0
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes4,1611.7¢0¢$0−$71$0
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Yes2,76555.8¢0¢$0−$1,544$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?Yes2,34328.7¢0¢$0−$674$0
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?Yes2,0006¢0¢$0−$120$0
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?Yes1,84216.3¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes1,78339.5¢0¢$0−$703$0
Will Michigan State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?Yes1,6642.2¢0¢$0−$37$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes1,6047.4¢0¢$0−$119$0
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?Yes1,52237.7¢0¢$0−$573$0
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?Yes1,50430.9¢0¢$0−$465−$71
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?Yes1,43019.7¢0¢$0−$282$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes1,28521¢0¢$0−$270$0
Will Kentucky win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?Yes1,2009¢0¢$0−$108$0
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes1,15017.9¢0¢$0−$205$0
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?Yes1,11417.6¢0¢$0−$196−$23
Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes1,0333¢0¢$0−$31$0
Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?Yes1,02751.5¢0¢$0−$529$0
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes1,0134.5¢0¢$0−$45$0
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?Yes1,0001.1¢0¢$0−$11$0
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes1,0009¢0¢$0−$90$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No1,0008¢0¢$0−$80$0
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025No1,00019¢0¢$0−$190$0
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0009¢0¢$0−$90$0
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?Yes1,00010¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Texas Tech make the 2025 Final Four?Yes1,00016¢0¢$0−$160$0
Will Al Hilal win Group H at the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes1,0007¢0¢$0−$70$0
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?Yes1,0002.5¢0¢$0−$25$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes1,0007¢0¢$0−$70$0
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Yes94831.2¢0¢$0−$296$0
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes9433.9¢0¢$0−$36$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?Yes8711.2¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?Yes8671.2¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will Kentucky make the 2025 Final Four?Yes81810¢0¢$0−$82$0
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?Yes7145¢0¢$0−$36$0
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes6851.1¢0¢$0−$7.54$0
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes6327.9¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes60572.3¢0¢$0−$437$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?Yes56926.8¢0¢$0−$152$0
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes53930.5¢0¢$0−$165$0
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes5004.9¢0¢$0−$25$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No50037¢0¢$0−$185$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No50058¢0¢$0−$290$0
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)Raiders50054¢0¢$0−$270$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes5000.7¢0¢$0−$3.50$0
Florida vs. AuburnAuburn50041¢0¢$0−$205$0
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes50021¢0¢$0−$105$0
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?Yes45753.8¢0¢$0−$246$0
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes43267¢0¢$0−$290$0
Will Fluminense win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes40230¢0¢$0−$121$0
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?Yes40014¢0¢$0−$56$0
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?Yes40025.9¢0¢$0−$104$0
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?Yes39429.9¢0¢$0−$118$0
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?Yes35051¢0¢$0−$179$0
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes35028.2¢0¢$0−$99$0
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?Yes34226.1¢0¢$0−$89$0
Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under33959¢0¢$0−$200−$4.10
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes32032.7¢0¢$0−$104$0
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes3115.4¢0¢$0−$17$0
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds30366¢0¢$0−$200−$3.40
Will Purdue advance to the Final Four?Yes30021.7¢0¢$0−$65$0
Michigan State vs. AuburnMichigan State30032¢0¢$0−$96$0
Will Iowa State advance to the Final Four?Yes27928.9¢0¢$0−$80$0
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes2703.2¢0¢$0−$8.64$0
Spread: Bears (-6.5)Jets25060¢0¢$0−$150$0
U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?Yes25025¢0¢$0−$63$0
Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)Bengals25070¢0¢$0−$175$0
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Atlanta Braves25056¢0¢$0−$140−$3.08
Will Monterrey win Group E at the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes2244.1¢0¢$0−$9.20$0
Giants vs. DiamondbacksGiants22046¢0¢$0−$101$0
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Kansas City Royals20462¢0¢$0−$126−$2.40
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Athletics20463¢0¢$0−$128−$2.37
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?Yes20011¢0¢$0−$22$0
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds20063¢0¢$0−$126−$2.33
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Athletics20067¢0¢$0−$134−$2.21
Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Athletics20065¢0¢$0−$130−$2.27
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under20062¢0¢$0−$124−$2.36
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under20058¢0¢$0−$116−$2.44
Spread: Texas Tech (-16.5)Colorado20057¢0¢$0−$114$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No20058¢0¢$0−$116$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox52¢200$10479%61
BUY Atlanta BravesSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)56¢250$14079%61
BUY FalconsSpread: Saints (-4.5)65¢250$16379%61
BUY 49ersSpread: 49ers (-2.5)55¢250$13779%61
BUY ChargersSpread: Seahawks (-10.5)61¢250$15379%61
BUY DolphinsSpread: Vikings (-13.5)60¢250$15079%61
BUY JetsSpread: Bears (-6.5)60¢250$15079%61
BUY EaglesSpread: Rams (-6.5)60¢250$15079%61
BUY BengalsSpread: Jaguars (-3.5)70¢250$17579%61
BUY ColoradoSpread: Texas Tech (-16.5)57¢200$11479%61
BUY Tampa Bay RaysSpread: New York Yankees (-1.5)69¢200$13879%61
BUY San Diego PadresSpread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)66¢200$13279%61
BUY Baltimore OriolesSpread: New York Yankees (-1.5)65¢56$3679%61
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House62¢1,000$62079%61
BUY FloridaOle Miss vs. Florida62¢400$24879%61
BUY AthleticsSpread: Houston Astros (-2.5)63¢204$12879%61
BUY St. Louis CardinalsSpread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)70¢195$13779%61
BUY Kansas City RoyalsSpread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)62¢204$12679%61
BUY Pittsburgh PiratesSpread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)65¢204$13279%61
BUY Washington NationalsSpread: New York Mets (-1.5)62¢200$12479%61