| New pandemic in 2026? | No | 24.4k | 88¢ | 95.5¢ | $23.3k | +$1,830 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.0k | 86.6¢ | 93.8¢ | $15.9k | +$1,220 | $0 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 10.6k | 94.3¢ | 98.2¢ | $10.4k | +$415 | +$31 | |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | No | 9,877 | 92¢ | 99.6¢ | $9,833 | +$741 | +$21 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 9,101 | 93.6¢ | 96.3¢ | $8,765 | +$243 | $0 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 8,284 | 94.2¢ | 92.7¢ | $7,680 | −$126 | −$5.81 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 6,700 | 89¢ | 94.5¢ | $6,331 | +$369 | $0 | |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 6,099 | 95.8¢ | 97.2¢ | $5,928 | +$84 | $0 | |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | No | 6,051 | 97.4¢ | 98¢ | $5,927 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 6,000 | 87.7¢ | 96.7¢ | $5,802 | +$542 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | No | 5,158 | 81.3¢ | 96.9¢ | $4,996 | +$805 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 5,000 | 84.4¢ | 84.5¢ | $4,225 | +$5.17 | +$35 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 5,100 | 39.2¢ | 76.5¢ | $3,901 | +$1,900 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 4,000 | 93.4¢ | 96.2¢ | $3,848 | +$113 | $0 | |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 3,944 | 96.7¢ | 97.3¢ | $3,835 | +$21 | −$2.13 | |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | No | 3,229 | 97.4¢ | 98.3¢ | $3,173 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 3,000 | 82.7¢ | 96¢ | $2,879 | +$399 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 3,000 | 81.7¢ | 89.5¢ | $2,685 | +$234 | $0 | |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? | No | 2,665 | 95.3¢ | 96.9¢ | $2,582 | +$44 | $0 | |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | No | 3,000 | 82.6¢ | 85.5¢ | $2,565 | +$86 | $0 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,378 | 92.5¢ | 96.5¢ | $2,295 | +$95 | +$28 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 2,300 | 92.7¢ | 94.5¢ | $2,174 | +$42 | $0 | |
| GTA VI released by October 31? | No | 2,064 | 94.5¢ | 99.6¢ | $2,055 | +$105 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 2,047 | 94.7¢ | 98.7¢ | $2,020 | +$80 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | No | 2,000 | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $1,999 | +$17 | $0 | |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | No | 2,051 | 36.9¢ | 94.4¢ | $1,936 | +$1,179 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 2,000 | 93¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,890 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | No | 2,000 | 55.2¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,810 | +$705 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 4,671 | 23.7¢ | 38¢ | $1,775 | +$668 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2,023 | 83.4¢ | 87.6¢ | $1,773 | +$86 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,634 | 39¢ | 81.5¢ | $1,332 | +$694 | $0 | |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 1,335 | 96.2¢ | 96.5¢ | $1,288 | +$3.34 | $0 | |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | No | 1,500 | 72.5¢ | 83¢ | $1,245 | +$158 | $0 | |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 1,573 | 32.2¢ | 79¢ | $1,243 | +$736 | $0 | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 1,200 | 88.6¢ | 91¢ | $1,092 | +$29 | $0 | |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,100 | 95.5¢ | 97.7¢ | $1,074 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | No | 1,100 | 92.3¢ | 96.4¢ | $1,060 | +$45 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 1,188 | 87¢ | 88¢ | $1,045 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | No | 1,864 | 53¢ | 54.5¢ | $1,016 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 90¢ | 97.5¢ | $975 | +$75 | +$67 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 999 | 93.4¢ | 97¢ | $968 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 92¢ | 95.5¢ | $955 | +$35 | $0 | |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 991 | 92.6¢ | 94.6¢ | $938 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,001 | 79.9¢ | 89.5¢ | $896 | +$96 | $0 | |
| Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? | No | 947 | 87¢ | 93¢ | $881 | +$57 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 1,000 | 76.1¢ | 81.5¢ | $815 | +$54 | $0 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 3,041 | 21.5¢ | 26¢ | $791 | +$138 | $0 | |
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50? | Yes | 1,970 | 68.4¢ | 38.5¢ | $758 | −$589 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 938 | 46.8¢ | 76.5¢ | $718 | +$278 | $0 | |
| Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? | No | 895 | 27.7¢ | 76.5¢ | $685 | +$436 | +$190 | |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 800 | 70¢ | 73.5¢ | $588 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 600 | 96.1¢ | 96.2¢ | $577 | +$0.30 | +$116 | |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | No | 782 | 77.8¢ | 71.5¢ | $559 | −$49 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 800 | 66.5¢ | 64.5¢ | $516 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026? | No | 536 | 92.5¢ | 96.2¢ | $515 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | No | 654 | 75.3¢ | 76.5¢ | $500 | +$8.17 | $0 | |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31? | No | 540 | 82.1¢ | 87.5¢ | $473 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 650 | 82.3¢ | 71.4¢ | $464 | −$71 | −$73 | |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 500 | 87¢ | 92.5¢ | $463 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 600 | 85¢ | 74.5¢ | $447 | −$63 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 89¢ | 85.5¢ | $428 | −$18 | +$88 | |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 55¢ | 83.5¢ | $417 | +$142 | $0 | |
| Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 429 | 92.5¢ | 97.3¢ | $417 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? | No | 400 | 89¢ | 98.5¢ | $394 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? | No | 400 | 96.8¢ | 98¢ | $392 | +$4.80 | $0 | |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | 85¢ | 97.4¢ | $389 | +$49 | $0 | |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | 92¢ | 96.6¢ | $386 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? | No | 400 | 82.5¢ | 96.3¢ | $385 | +$55 | $0 | |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027? | No | 356 | 95.9¢ | 97.2¢ | $346 | +$4.27 | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 2,000 | 46.8¢ | 16¢ | $320 | −$617 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 329 | 94.6¢ | 95.5¢ | $314 | +$2.80 | $0 | |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | No | 325 | 64.6¢ | 85.5¢ | $278 | +$68 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 600 | 13¢ | 44¢ | $264 | +$186 | $0 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed? | No | 245 | 92¢ | 97¢ | $238 | +$12 | +$0.55 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 218 | 94.5¢ | 97.9¢ | $213 | +$7.31 | $0 | |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | No | 250 | 70¢ | 83.5¢ | $209 | +$34 | +$4.00 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 1,311 | 21.6¢ | 15.5¢ | $203 | −$80 | $0 | |
| Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026? | No | 212 | 82¢ | 93.9¢ | $199 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 237 | 81¢ | 82.5¢ | $195 | +$3.55 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1,000 | 59.4¢ | 19.5¢ | $195 | −$399 | $0 | |
| Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 200 | 95¢ | 96.9¢ | $194 | +$3.80 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027? | No | 200 | 85¢ | 96.2¢ | $192 | +$22 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | No | 300 | 64¢ | 64¢ | $192 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | No | 286 | 46.1¢ | 66¢ | $189 | +$57 | $0 | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 200 | 67¢ | 90.5¢ | $181 | +$47 | $0 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 1,000 | 20.8¢ | 18¢ | $180 | −$28 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 200 | 92¢ | 89.5¢ | $179 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31? | No | 200 | 84¢ | 82¢ | $164 | −$4.00 | $0 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 188 | 72¢ | 81.5¢ | $153 | +$18 | +$45 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 200 | 10¢ | 63.5¢ | $127 | +$107 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 155 | 75¢ | 78.5¢ | $122 | +$5.43 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | 62¢ | 40¢ | $120 | −$66 | $0 | |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | No | 540 | 16.4¢ | 22¢ | $119 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 142 | 69.7¢ | 83¢ | $118 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | No | 1,000 | 57¢ | 11.5¢ | $115 | −$455 | $0 | |
| SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? | No | 113 | 93.3¢ | 98.6¢ | $111 | +$5.90 | +$12 | |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | No | 300 | 27¢ | 33.5¢ | $101 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | No | 104 | 87¢ | 90¢ | $93 | +$3.11 | $0 | |
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | No | 100 | 51¢ | 93.3¢ | $93 | +$42 | $0 | |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 110 | 63¢ | 84¢ | $92 | +$23 | $0 | |