sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Kimera-

0xcc7…4ce2@iKimera_
WR 60+PoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,287vol $465k
PnL 30d−$210gains $882 · losses $733
PnL 7d−$530win rate 7d 40.0%
Win rate61.9%adj 61.5% · 30d 72.0%
Open value$1,834cash n/a
Positions35 / 1,306open / all-time
Max drawdown−55.9%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,038below peak −$2,575Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 61.9% · shrunk toward 50%54
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity44

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 35

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes30091¢94¢$282+$9.00$0
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?No22788¢98¢$223+$23$0
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes22694.2¢89.5¢$202−$11−$0.97
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes20195¢97.4¢$196+$4.72$0
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by October 30, 2026?No14490¢96.1¢$139+$8.70$0
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?No11091¢98.1¢$108+$7.80$0
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?No11388.6¢89.5¢$101+$1.03$0
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?No11090.6¢80¢$88−$12$0
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?No8687¢93.5¢$81+$5.60+$2.30
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by October 31?No10189¢77.5¢$78−$12$0
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026?No6393¢99.3¢$62+$3.91+$8.44
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?No5772¢91.5¢$52+$11+$3.32
Will $ANSEM reach $0.8 before 2027?No4555.4¢92¢$42+$17$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes11145¢34¢$38−$12$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No3683¢82.5¢$30−$0.18$0
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No2970¢98.3¢$28+$8.07$0
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No2774.6¢86.5¢$23+$3.18$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes13315¢13.5¢$18−$2.00$0
Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?No4838¢35¢$17−$1.43+$0.65
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No1567¢69.5¢$10+$0.37$0
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes6083¢16.5¢$9.94−$40$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes2084¢11.5¢$2.31−$15−$15
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes3826¢5.1¢$1.94−$8.06$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes4820.9¢2.6¢$1.22−$8.78$0
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?No186.6¢88.9¢$1.03+$0.03$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes176¢3.5¢$0.57−$0.42$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes1178.6¢0.5¢$0.52−$9.48$0
Will Bad Bunny be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes65¢3.7¢$0.22−$0.08$0
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes5905.1¢0¢$0−$30−$1.42
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes56814.1¢0¢$0−$80−$3.44
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes56046.4¢0¢$0−$260−$6.95
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes53718.6¢0¢$0−$100−$4.07
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes5087.9¢0¢$0−$40−$1.84
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes4988¢0¢$0−$40−$1.84
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 31, 2026?No172¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.01

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUYCounter-Strike: Sangal vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs AND Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-10-10?55.4¢18$9.7862%59
BUY YesWill Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?7.9¢508$4062%59
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?36.9¢27$1062%59
BUY YesWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?5.1¢590$3062%59
BUY YesWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?8¢498$4062%59
BUY YesWill Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?13.9¢505$7062%59
BUY YesWill Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?18.6¢537$10062%59
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?46.9¢533$25062%59
SELL NoNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?41¢49$2062%59
SELL YesNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?10¢112$1162%59
BUY YesGemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?95¢211$20062%59
BUY NoNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?22¢9$2.0062%59
BUY NoNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?20¢40$8.0062%59
SELL NoIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?95¢29$2762%59
SELL YesWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?21¢550$11562%59
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?72¢139$10062%59
BUY YesWill Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?15.9¢63$1062%59
BUY LYONLoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner57¢26$1562%59
BUY NoIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?87¢115$10062%59
BUY YesWill Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?91¢220$20062%59