PnL all-time−$455vol $43.7k
PnL 30d+$5,208gains $147 · losses $124
PnL 7d+$3,609win rate 7d 28.6%
Win rate28.6%adj 41.2% · 30d 28.6%
Open value$16.2kcash n/a
Positions4 / 18open / all-time
Max drawdown−18.0%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 4d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$5,618below peak $0Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
20/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 28.6% · shrunk toward 50%3
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable42
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d86
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity82
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen+$6,005Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? · Noclosed+$117Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$30Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? · Yesclosed+$13Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed+$0.63
Worst markets
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · Yesopen−$230Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? · Yesopen−$112Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yesclosed−$88Will Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars? · Yesclosed−$55Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · Noopen−$49
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 18.9k | 53.7¢ | 85.7¢ | $16.2k | +$6,029 | −$24 | |
| Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | Yes | 825 | 27.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$229 | −$0.78 | |
| Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | No | 153 | 31.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$48 | −$1.13 | |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 128 | 87¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$111 | −$0.43 |
Recent trades
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