PnL all-time−$174vol $28.5k
PnL 30d+$0.36gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.10win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate54.2%adj 53.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$427cash n/a
Positions6 / 65open / all-time
Max drawdown−20.6%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 4mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$189below peak −$192Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 54.2% · shrunk toward 50%33
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity79
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 300 | 50¢ | 82.5¢ | $248 | +$98 | $0 | |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | No | 107 | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | $107 | +$6.98 | −$0.33 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 300 | 50¢ | 17.5¢ | $53 | −$98 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18? | No | 16 | 96¢ | 100¢ | $16 | +$0.63 | $0 | |
| Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 50¢ | 19.5¢ | $3.90 | −$6.10 | $0 | |
| Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 13 | 77¢ | 6.7¢ | $0.86 | −$9.14 | $0 |
Recent trades
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