PnL all-time+$40.8kvol $3.11M
PnL 30d−$4,649gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$2,300win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate57.4%adj 56.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$29.2kcash n/a
Positions8 / 275open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$30.5kbelow peak −$85.4kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 57.4% · shrunk toward 50%42
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$21.8kOver $20M committed to the Solomon public sale? · Yesclosed+$19.4kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$18.7kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$16.6kWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Noclosed+$16.5k
Worst markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yesopen−$58.7kWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · Noclosed−$15.3kUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$13.3kWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed−$13.0kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$12.7k
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 115k | 69.9¢ | 19¢ | $21.8k | −$58.6k | −$160 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 45.0k | 44¢ | 14.5¢ | $6,525 | −$13.3k | $0 | |
| Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 242 | 93.9¢ | 97.4¢ | $235 | +$8.46 | $0 | |
| Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch? | No | 230 | 92.5¢ | 96.9¢ | $222 | +$10 | +$4.78 | |
| Hurupay FDV above $30M one day after launch? | No | 169 | 87.3¢ | 95.3¢ | $161 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 159 | 95.9¢ | 97.3¢ | $155 | +$2.17 | $0 | |
| Hurupay FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 87 | 98.3¢ | 98.6¢ | $86 | +$0.22 | +$0.39 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3,000 | 39.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,194 | $0 |
Recent trades
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