PnL all-time−$3,350vol $202k
PnL 30d+$92gains $555 · losses $221
PnL 7d+$92win rate 7d 71.4%
Win rate50.8%adj 50.6% · 30d 71.4%
Open value$3,167cash n/a
Positions6 / 69open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 12h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$3,145below peak −$3,733Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 50.8% · shrunk toward 50%27
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable61
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02? · Yesclosed+$1,261Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19? · Yesclosed+$479Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25? · Yesclosed+$457Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-26? · Yesclosed+$432Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yesclosed+$401
Worst markets
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? · Yesopen−$2,732Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02? · Yesclosed−$1,416Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners · Overopen−$946Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? · Yesclosed−$783Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 · Overopen−$725
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 4,042 | 8.8¢ | 5.1¢ | $204 | −$151 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | Yes | 15.9k | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$1.25 | |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? | Yes | 3,969 | 67¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,659 | −$72 | |
| Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | Over | 1,791 | 52¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$932 | −$13 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | Yes | 1,187 | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$70 | −$3.29 | |
| Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 | Over | 1,065 | 67.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$718 | −$7.02 |
Recent trades
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