sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,649

johnny-guitar

0xce2…4257
1y+SportCryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$8,428vol $710k
PnL 30d−$8,557gains $20.0k · losses $23.3k
PnL 7d−$21.0kwin rate 7d 36.8%
Win rate60.0%adj 59.6% · 30d 72.1%
Open value$984cash n/a
Positions48 / 548open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 1m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$4,954below peak −$22.5kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 60.0% · shrunk toward 50%49
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance · Norwayclosed+$4,292Spurs vs. Nuggets · Nuggetsclosed+$3,217Spread: Falcons (-3.5) · Falconsclosed+$3,127Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? · Noclosed+$2,156Spread: Bills (-2.5) · Billsclosed+$1,616

Worst markets

Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yesclosed−$6,482Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$4,467Spread: Browns (-7.5) · Brownsopen−$3,036Spread: Lions (-2.5) · Lionsclosed−$2,957Nuggets vs. Timberwolves · Nuggetsopen−$2,701

Open positions · 48

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)Cowboys1,60064¢61.5¢$984−$40$0
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes8,6206¢0¢$0−$517−$19
Spread: Browns (-7.5)Browns5,30056.5¢0¢$0−$2,997−$39
Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesNuggets3,78070.8¢0¢$0−$2,678−$23
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceGermany3,37878.8¢0¢$0−$2,661−$16
76ers vs. Knicks76ers3,1603.5¢0¢$0−$110−$3.19
Spread: Panthers (-10.5)Panthers2,25426¢0¢$0−$586$0
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)Eagles1,69959¢0¢$0−$1,002$0
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?No1,60063.7¢0¢$0−$1,019−$3.41
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Nuggets1,32538.7¢0¢$0−$513$0
Eagles vs. PatriotsEagles1,17651¢0¢$0−$600−$8.89
Spurs vs. ThunderThunder1,10457.6¢0¢$0−$636−$8.03
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceCroatia1,08239.7¢0¢$0−$430−$7.77
Spread: Bengals (-2.5)Bengals87657¢0¢$0−$499$0
Pittsburgh vs. Virginia TechVirginia Tech87157.4¢0¢$0−$500−$6.39
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No8126.1¢0¢$0−$50−$1.76
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceJapan71428¢0¢$0−$200−$4.32
Colorado vs. Georgia TechGeorgia Tech70073¢0¢$0−$511−$6.90
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes70043.3¢0¢$0−$303−$0.83
Washington vs. USCWashington56952.8¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?No50040¢0¢$0−$200−$3.60
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?No44867¢0¢$0−$300−$2.97
Oregon vs. USCUSC41748¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes40068.3¢0¢$0−$273−$1.95
Browns vs. BuccaneersBuccaneers37753¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will England win on 2026-06-27?No31034¢0¢$0−$105$0
76ers vs. Knicks76ers30333¢0¢$0−$100−$2.01
Knicks vs. 76ers76ers30333¢0¢$0−$100−$2.01
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria27042.6¢0¢$0−$115−$1.92
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?No26775¢0¢$0−$200−$1.50
Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)Buccaneers26058¢0¢$0−$151$0
Spread: PHI (-5.5)PHI26057¢0¢$0−$148$0
Patriots vs. SeahawksPatriots25379¢0¢$0−$200−$2.10
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?No21347¢0¢$0−$100−$1.59
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceAustralia21347¢0¢$0−$100−$1.59
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?No20658.2¢0¢$0−$120−$1.51
Spread: Falcons (-2.5)Saints20455¢0¢$0−$112$0
Spread: Oregon (-7.5)USC20057¢0¢$0−$114$0
Hurricanes vs. Golden KnightsHurricanes19451.5¢0¢$0−$100−$1.45
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Alex Pereira19053¢0¢$0−$101−$1.42
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?No17928¢0¢$0−$50−$1.08
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over14370¢0¢$0−$100−$0.90
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?Yes10524.7¢0¢$0−$26−$0.78
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Over10368.3¢0¢$0−$70−$1.11
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers10011¢0¢$0−$11−$0.29
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?No8312¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.26
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5Under7665.5¢0¢$0−$50−$0.86
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Yes3557¢0¢$0−$20−$0.26

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY CowboysSpread: Cowboys (-3.5)61¢820$50060%36
BUY CowboysSpread: Cowboys (-5.5)59¢169$10060%36
BUY CowboysSpread: Cowboys (-5.5)60¢1,690$1,01460%36
BUY CowboysSpread: Cowboys (-6.5)64¢1,600$1,02460%36
BUY UnderTampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.553¢472$25060%36
BUY UnderTampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.551.5¢10$5.1560%36
SELL New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees25¢517$12960%36
BUY New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees58¢517$30060%36
BUY OverTimberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 237.568.3¢103$7060%36
BUY UnderTampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.569.5¢360$25060%36
BUY Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves55¢91$5060%36
BUY San Diego PadresMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres65¢154$10060%36
BUY San Diego PadresMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres80¢375$30060%36
BUY UnderLakers vs. Warriors: O/U 220.565.5¢76$5060%36
BUY San Diego PadresMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres85¢759$64560%36
SELL NuggetsNuggets vs. Jazz94.3¢1,748$1,64960%36
BUY NuggetsNuggets vs. Jazz82¢61$5060%36
BUY NuggetsNuggets vs. Jazz83¢1,687$1,40060%36
BUY Los Angeles DodgersSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)71¢678$48260%36
BUY Los Angeles DodgersSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)63.8¢783$50060%36