PnL all-time−$3,438vol $1.57M
PnL 30d+$77gains $47 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$77win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate93.1%adj 75.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,032cash n/a
Positions7 / 36open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 22h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$3,366below peak −$3,549Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 93.1% · shrunk toward 50%89
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable52
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 27? · Yesclosed+$503Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? · Noclosed+$126Will Acción Popular (AP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election? · Noclosed+$78Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$68Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? · Yesclosed+$62
Worst markets
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? · Yesopen−$3,933Starmer out by June 22, 2026? · Noopen−$431Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30? · Yesopen−$42Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$17Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September? · Yesopen−$1.03
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Javier Milei win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | No | 1,036 | 96.5¢ | 99.6¢ | $1,032 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | Yes | 1.51M | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,933 | $0 | |
| Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30? | Yes | 1,527 | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$41 | −$1.58 | |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | No | 1,312 | 32¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$420 | −$11 | |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25? | No | 56 | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September? | Yes | 2 | 60¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September? | Yes | 1 | 67¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.02 |
Recent trades
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