PnL all-time+$80.0kvol $334k
PnL 30d+$350gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$24win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 66.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$14.7kcash n/a
Positions11 / 21open / all-time
Max drawdown−6.2%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$81.0kbelow peak −$4,182Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%67
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable44
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? · Noclosed+$88.5kWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? · Yesclosed+$1,263US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Noclosed+$816Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Noopen+$493Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? · Noopen+$273
Worst markets
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 10.6k | 92.3¢ | 97¢ | $10.2k | +$493 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? | No | 1,501 | 68.8¢ | 87¢ | $1,306 | +$273 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026? | No | 1,240 | 84.6¢ | 95¢ | $1,178 | +$129 | $0 | |
| Human moon landing in 2026? | No | 600 | 93.9¢ | 98.9¢ | $593 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 500 | 85¢ | 97¢ | $485 | +$60 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? | No | 496 | 89.9¢ | 96.3¢ | $477 | +$31 | $0 | |
| New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | No | 384 | 93.5¢ | 97.8¢ | $376 | +$17 | $0 | |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 21.5k | 22.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,801 | $0 | |
| Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%? | Yes | 7,090 | 31.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,255 | −$2,891 | |
| Will MrBeast get married by December 31? | No | 760 | 60.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$456 | $0 | |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 490 | 80¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$392 | −$2.35 |
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