sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Unranked

Everestpredictions

0xcec…3f67@DionWlaw6000
WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,004vol $1.28M
PnL 30d−$2,110gains $5,508 · losses $12.1k
PnL 7d−$640win rate 7d 78.6%
Win rate71.6%adj 70.8% · 30d 68.2%
Open value$45.2kcash n/a
Positions41 / 798open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 8h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,545below peak −$4,346Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 71.6% · shrunk toward 50%77
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable97
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 41

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?No10.3k86.7¢94.6¢$9,725+$809$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No6,39290.5¢93.5¢$5,977+$193+$5.04
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No3,01082.9¢93.5¢$2,814+$319$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No3,39172.3¢72.5¢$2,459+$6.44+$2.38
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No2,59183.6¢93.5¢$2,423+$256+$305
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No2,43180.9¢85.5¢$2,079+$111+$0.68
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?No2,14394¢92.5¢$1,982−$33$0
Kash Patel out by December 31?No2,03248.3¢78¢$1,585+$603+$175
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes1,64870.1¢78.5¢$1,294+$139$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes1,48977.9¢85.5¢$1,273+$114$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No1,40181.4¢88.5¢$1,240+$100$0
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No1,22390.6¢92.5¢$1,132+$23$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No1,09787.9¢96.8¢$1,061+$97+$137
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No1,06094.4¢97.6¢$1,034+$33$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No1,04485¢93.5¢$976+$89−$1.44
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes1,40071.4¢69.5¢$973−$26$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes1,84550¢52¢$959+$36$0
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?No98887¢87.5¢$864+$4.64+$1.03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes1,91260.5¢44.6¢$852−$305−$7.20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No1,00085¢83.5¢$835−$15$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes90074¢75.5¢$680+$14$0
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?No60087¢88.5¢$531+$9.00$0
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes65077.8¢70.5¢$458−$47$0
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?No47185¢90.5¢$426+$26$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No40082¢81¢$324−$4.00$0
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?No36785.1¢87.5¢$321+$8.83$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No40078.9¢71¢$284−$32$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No33272.4¢79.5¢$264+$24+$3.37
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?No21692.4¢97.5¢$211+$11$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No12289¢89.5¢$109+$0.61$0
Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?Yes6485.5¢88.5¢$57+$1.91$0
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Yes2686.6¢88.6¢$23+$0.52$0
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No1,00364.3¢0¢$0−$645$0
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes89474.9¢0¢$0−$670−$17
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes63822.5¢0¢$0−$143−$2.02
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?No48161.2¢0¢$0−$294−$5.42
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?Yes44180.3¢0¢$0−$354−$2.78
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes33513¢0¢$0−$43$0
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?No27353.2¢0¢$0−$145$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No2134.7¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaAryna Sabalenka12958¢0¢$0−$75−$1.57

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?90¢100$9072%43
BUY NoHouthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?95¢110$10572%43
SELL NoWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?60.5¢809$48972%43
BUY YesJair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?86¢32$2872%43
BUY YesJair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?85¢30$2672%43
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?93¢600$55872%43
SELL NoWill the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?86.6¢23$2072%43
BUY NoWill Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?93¢100$9372%43
SELL NoIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?81¢946$76672%43
BUY NoHouthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?86¢200$17272%43
BUY YesWill Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?75¢50$3872%43
BUY NoGemini 4.0 released by October 9, 2026?89¢20$1872%43
BUY NoGemini 4.0 released by October 9, 2026?86¢15$1372%43
BUY NoPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?82¢400$32872%43
BUY NoWill Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?93¢12$1172%43
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?83¢100$8372%43
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?74¢119$8872%43
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?99.9¢1,424$1,42272%43
BUY YesWill Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?78¢100$7872%43
BUY NoNext Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?87¢100$8772%43