sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Unranked

Hot-SkullHomelessBegger

0xcee…8233
PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$16.4kvol $368k
PnL 30d+$834gains $3,693 · losses $249
PnL 7d+$4.68win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate77.3%adj 70.9% · 30d 85.7%
Open value$14.4kcash n/a
Positions67 / 134open / all-time
Max drawdown−4.0%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 17d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$20.1kbelow peak −$839Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 77.3% · shrunk toward 50%77
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d42
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Yesclosed+$2,019Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,830Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$1,773Will Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series? · Yesopen+$1,114Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,020

Worst markets

Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Noclosed−$1,664Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? · Yesclosed−$698Will Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series? · Noclosed−$619Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? · Yesopen−$568Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? · Yesopen−$340

Open positions · 67

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Meccha Chameleon win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?No2,04982¢98.2¢$2,011+$330+$336
Will Nuhu Angbazo win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election?No2,00887.5¢99.8¢$2,003+$246+$271
Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No1,68984.8¢89.5¢$1,512+$79−$379
Will Rob Callister be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?No1,17590.4¢95.1¢$1,117+$55+$35
Will Lawrie Hooper be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?No94284.8¢99.3¢$935+$137+$85
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?No72652.2¢62.7¢$455+$76+$31
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?Yes50577.4¢80¢$404+$13$0
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?No76138.7¢51¢$388+$93+$812
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?Yes86132.1¢44.6¢$383+$107+$76
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation stay above 1,038 ft?No37588.7¢97.8¢$366+$34+$16
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?Yes60738.9¢60¢$364+$128$0
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?Yes81023.8¢44.5¢$361+$168+$320
Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,81110¢12.8¢$358+$76+$0.27
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Yes1,59958.6¢20¢$320−$617+$50
Will Jean Silva fight Lerone Murphy next?No34676.4¢91.5¢$317+$52$0
Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?No45951.3¢65.6¢$301+$65$0
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?Yes74528.2¢36¢$268+$58+$185
Will Labor win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?No26880.9¢94.9¢$254+$37−$105
Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes31336.2¢68¢$213+$100+$3.50
Will Jean Silva fight Alexander Volkanovski next?No23564¢86.5¢$203+$53+$44
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?No20395¢96.1¢$195+$2.23$0
Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes1,4393.6¢12.6¢$181+$129+$56
Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Yes34733.1¢49¢$170+$55+$3.54
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes81324.6¢19.9¢$161−$39+$117
Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?Yes55132.8¢24.5¢$135−$45+$118
Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?Yes60616.6¢21.5¢$130+$30+$125
Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes1,3921.7¢9¢$126+$102+$27
Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?Yes50419.6¢22.5¢$113+$15$0
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?No60021¢18¢$108−$18$0
Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes1,7362.8¢5.1¢$89+$40$0
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes7458.6¢11¢$82+$18−$3.88
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Yes24031.8¢26¢$62−$14$0
Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?No26462.7¢22.5¢$59−$106+$0.27
Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?Yes6314.4¢57¢$36+$27+$7.07
Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?Yes809.2¢42.5¢$34+$27+$121
Will Tommie Ekered be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?No3980¢80.5¢$31+$0.19+$35
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Yes3063¢80¢$24+$5.08$0
Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Yes2020¢83.5¢$17+$13$0
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes4000.3¢4.1¢$16+$15+$149
Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?Yes2020¢79.5¢$16+$12+$6.00
Will Emmanuel David Ombugadu win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election?Yes1087.9¢13.9¢$15+$6.46$0
Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Yes2612.4¢57¢$15+$12+$1.71
Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?Yes2012.5¢72.6¢$15+$12+$0.30
Will Marco Bonilla Mendoza win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?No2088¢67¢$13−$4.20$0
Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?No2052.5¢62.5¢$13+$2.01+$89
Will Andrea Chávez Treviño win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?Yes5210¢22¢$11+$6.25+$3.17
Will Jim Lee win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?Yes11812.5¢8.5¢$9.99−$4.74$0
Will Derek Giberson win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?Yes1977.5¢3.9¢$7.68−$7.12$0
Will Greens win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes2511.6¢20.5¢$5.13+$2.23$0
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?Yes1686.3¢2.2¢$3.69−$6.90$0
Will Gbefwi Gaza Jonathan win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election?Yes892.1¢3.7¢$3.25+$1.34$0
Will Barcelona host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Yes7870.1¢0.4¢$2.75+$1.97$0
Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?No390.1¢70.9¢$2.05−$0.56−$6.86
Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?No888¢12.2¢$0.98−$6.06−$4.56
Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?Yes2310¢4.2¢$0.95−$1.34+$8.00
Will Geraldine Ponce Méndez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?Yes2520.4¢3.6¢$0.90−$4.21$0
Will Olara Otunnu be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes1170.9¢0.6¢$0.70−$0.35$0
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0?Yes2481.4¢0.2¢$0.37−$3.11$0
Will Ivonne de Baki be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes560.8¢0.5¢$0.31−$0.14$0
Will Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes5010¢0.2¢$0.07−$4.92$0
Will Jorge Álvarez Máynez win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?Yes249¢0.2¢$0.04−$2.16$0
Will BARMM Grand Coalition (BGC) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?Yes1,2910.4¢0¢$0−$5.81−$0.18
Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?Yes86514.1¢0¢$0−$122−$3.97
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes73340.8¢0¢$0−$299−$41
Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?Yes25473.1¢0¢$0−$186−$40
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes17731¢0¢$0−$55−$11
Will Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?Yes9613.8¢0¢$0−$13+$1,127

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Rob Callister be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?91.2¢367$33577%63
SELL YesWill Caio Borralho fight Joe Pyfer next?49.7¢214$10677%63
SELL YesWill Caio Borralho fight Joe Pyfer next?61.1¢328$20077%63
BUY NoWill Jean Silva fight Lerone Murphy next?76.4¢346$26477%63
BUY NoWill Jean Silva fight Alexander Volkanovski next?64¢470$30177%63
BUY YesWill Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?19.6¢504$9977%63
BUY NoWill Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?51.3¢459$23577%63
BUY YesWill DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?11.6¢1,755$20377%63
SELL YesWill Caio Borralho fight Joe Pyfer next?57.9¢254$14777%63
SELL YesWill another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?39.4¢10.2k$4,00377%63
SELL YesWill Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?43.9¢382$16877%63
BUY YesWill Caio Borralho fight Joe Pyfer next?25.4¢795$20277%63
BUY YesWill Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?31.3¢1,387$43477%63
BUY NoWill Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?54¢868$46977%63
BUY NoWill Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?51¢675$34477%63
BUY YesWill any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?11.5¢1,636$18977%63
SELL YesWill any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?10¢22$2.2077%63
BUY YesWill any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?10¢440$4477%63
BUY YesWill any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?8.3¢578$4877%63
BUY NoWill Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?49.2¢122$6077%63