PnL all-time+$8,173vol $150k
PnL 30d+$812gains $0 · losses $70
PnL 7d+$795win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate63.9%adj 60.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$3,220cash n/a
Positions11 / 72open / all-time
Max drawdown−22.5%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 24d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$9,750below peak $0Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
51/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 63.9% · shrunk toward 50%51
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable62
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d17
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity78
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch? · Noclosed+$1,593Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yesclosed+$1,121Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Noclosed+$731Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Noclosed+$683Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yesopen+$594
Worst markets
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$376Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$270Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$217Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$211US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? · Noclosed−$122
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | 1,336 | 33¢ | 77.5¢ | $1,035 | +$594 | $0 | |
| Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 921 | 37.3¢ | 68.5¢ | $631 | +$288 | +$12 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 511 | 42.9¢ | 82.5¢ | $421 | +$202 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 615 | 27¢ | 62.5¢ | $384 | +$218 | $0 | |
| Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 230 | 65.9¢ | 82.5¢ | $190 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 311 | 32.3¢ | 54.5¢ | $170 | +$69 | +$34 | |
| Huddle FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 140 | 86¢ | 92.8¢ | $130 | +$9.52 | $0 | |
| Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch? | No | 181 | 65.7¢ | 71¢ | $129 | +$9.57 | $0 | |
| Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch? | No | 93 | 85¢ | 90.5¢ | $84 | +$5.12 | $0 | |
| MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch? | No | 45 | 46.3¢ | 75.5¢ | $34 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | 14 | 46¢ | 81.5¢ | $11 | +$4.87 | $0 |
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