PnL all-time−$6,096vol $112k
PnL 30d−$165gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$124win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate31.3%adj 41.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$10.2kcash n/a
Positions4 / 20open / all-time
Max drawdown−74.3%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$6,368below peak −$4,734Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
15/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 31.3% · shrunk toward 50%4
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity26
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state? · Yesclosed+$1,627Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,154Robert Jenrick next Conservative party leader? · Noclosed+$162Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$66Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yesopen+$50
Worst markets
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yesclosed−$3,914Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency? · Yesclosed−$2,381Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$1,359Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$800Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$350
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 11.1k | 45¢ | 43.5¢ | $4,834 | −$167 | $0 | |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10,000 | 28¢ | 28.5¢ | $2,850 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 16.1k | 15.5¢ | 15.5¢ | $2,498 | −$6.83 | $0 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 1,471 | 17¢ | 3.2¢ | $47 | −$203 | $0 |
Recent trades
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