PnL all-time+$127kvol $7.24M
PnL 30d−$590gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$250win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate55.3%adj 55.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$8,050cash n/a
Positions6 / 495open / all-time
Max drawdown−44.3%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$127kbelow peak −$81.2kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
51/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 55.3% · shrunk toward 50%38
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity56
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? · Yesclosed+$74.8kWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$38.9kWill the government shutdown end November 13? · Yesclosed+$33.9kWill the government shutdown end November 12? · Yesclosed+$12.1kUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? · Noclosed+$10.5k
Worst markets
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 10.0k | 64¢ | 70.5¢ | $7,050 | +$650 | $0 | |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | Yes | 1,000 | 79¢ | 100¢ | $1,000 | +$210 | $0 | |
| Spain to score first vs. Argentina? | Yes | 10.0k | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | Yes | 1,457 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$452 | −$7.35 | |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 263 | 38¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 258 | 76¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$196 | $0 |
Recent trades
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