Traders/Unranked

to-the-moooon

0xcf7…8f19

WR 70+WR 60+Weather

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$299vol $24.0k

PnL 30d+$323gains $323 · losses $12

PnL 7d+$237win rate 7d 100.0%

Win rate80.0%adj 76.4% · 30d 75.0%

Open value$0cash n/a

Positions130 / 276open / all-time

Max drawdown−76.1%of equity peak

Account age7molast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$162below peak −$168Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

48/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 80.0% · shrunk toward 50%91

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity24

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Noclosed+$202 Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16? · Noclosed+$104 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19? · Noclosed+$99 Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Noclosed+$94 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19? · Yesclosed+$67

Worst markets

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 14? · Yesopen−$74 Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26? · Yesopen−$69 Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22? · Yesopen−$68 Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 10? · Yesopen−$57 Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? · Yesclosed−$50

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 14?	Yes	219	33.1¢	0¢	$0	−$73	−$1.67	ended
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 24?	Yes	176	14.9¢	0¢	$0	−$26	−$0.08	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?	Yes	163	41¢	0¢	$0	−$67	−$1.62	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 10?	Yes	142	39.4¢	0¢	$0	−$56	−$1.42	ended
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	138	50.2¢	0¢	$0	−$69	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 23?	Yes	121	24.9¢	0¢	$0	−$30	−$0.90	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23?	Yes	112	17.6¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$0.81	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?	Yes	106	45.2¢	0¢	$0	−$48	−$1.31	ended
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?	Yes	104	48¢	0¢	$0	−$50	$0	ended
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	100	5.9¢	0¢	$0	−$5.90	−$0.03	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 17?	Yes	100	48.6¢	0¢	$0	−$49	−$1.25	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 24?	Yes	80	21.3¢	0¢	$0	−$17	+$0.05	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 4?	Yes	74	53.6¢	0¢	$0	−$40	−$0.92	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	73	48.3¢	0¢	$0	−$35	−$0.41	ended
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 4?	Yes	73	38.3¢	0¢	$0	−$28	−$0.59	ended
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 2?	Yes	73	41.7¢	0¢	$0	−$30	−$0.49	ended
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 9?	Yes	70	40.6¢	0¢	$0	−$28	−$0.83	ended
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 5?	Yes	65	23¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$0.52	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 2?	Yes	64	46.9¢	0¢	$0	−$30	−$0.80	ended
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 4?	Yes	58	51.4¢	0¢	$0	−$30	−$0.72	ended
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on May 5?	Yes	57	26.2¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$0.55	ended
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on April 30?	Yes	52	37.8¢	0¢	$0	−$20	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	Yes	51	36.7¢	0¢	$0	−$19	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?	Yes	51	44.1¢	0¢	$0	−$22	−$0.87	ended
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 5?	Yes	50	55.4¢	0¢	$0	−$28	−$0.29	ended
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 6?	Yes	50	29.9¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$0.53	ended
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 3?	Yes	49	60.5¢	0¢	$0	−$30	−$0.58	ended
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 9?	Yes	47	42.3¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$0.57	ended
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	47	10.8¢	0¢	$0	−$5.07	−$0.23	ended
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 5?	Yes	47	32.2¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$0.51	ended
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on April 29?	Yes	46	43.9¢	0¢	$0	−$20	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 24?	Yes	45	31¢	0¢	$0	−$14	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 2?	Yes	44	34¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$0.49	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 21?	Yes	42	32.2¢	0¢	$0	−$14	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 19?	Yes	42	11.6¢	0¢	$0	−$4.86	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	41	33.3¢	0¢	$0	−$14	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 5?	Yes	41	45.7¢	0¢	$0	−$19	−$0.51	ended
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 18?	Yes	40	24¢	0¢	$0	−$9.68	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1?	Yes	40	49.1¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$0.48	ended
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 5?	Yes	38	33.8¢	0¢	$0	−$13	−$0.43	ended
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 4?	Yes	38	40¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$0.46	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 26?	Yes	38	36.7¢	0¢	$0	−$14	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 3?	Yes	37	48.5¢	0¢	$0	−$18	−$0.47	ended
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 5?	Yes	37	40¢	0¢	$0	−$15	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 30?	Yes	37	54.8¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$0.45	ended
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 15?	Yes	36	8.3¢	0¢	$0	−$3.00	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on May 4?	Yes	35	42.3¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$0.43	ended
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 4?	Yes	34	44.8¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$0.41	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 7?	Yes	33	45.4¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$0.41	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?	Yes	33	43.2¢	0¢	$0	−$14	−$2.07	ended
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 2?	Yes	33	41.2¢	0¢	$0	−$13	−$0.40	ended
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	30	50¢	0¢	$0	−$15	$0	ended
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	29	51.3¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$0.12	ended
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 1?	Yes	29	39.9¢	0¢	$0	−$12	−$0.29	ended
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 23?	Yes	29	49.5¢	0¢	$0	−$14	−$12	ended
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 3?	Yes	29	52¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$0.36	ended
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 30?	Yes	29	34.7¢	0¢	$0	−$9.99	−$0.22	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?	Yes	29	35¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.33	ended
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 30?	Yes	29	35¢	0¢	$0	−$9.97	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 1?	Yes	29	35¢	0¢	$0	−$9.97	−$0.24	ended
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 15?	Yes	28	36¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.32	ended
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 8?	Yes	28	46.5¢	0¢	$0	−$13	−$0.34	ended
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 9?	Yes	27	37¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.32	ended
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 9?	Yes	26	38¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.31	ended
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 12?	Yes	26	38¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.31	ended
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on April 30?	Yes	26	37.2¢	0¢	$0	−$9.77	−$0.23	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	26	39¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.30	ended
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 9?	Yes	26	39.1¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.30	ended
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 1?	Yes	25	39.7¢	0¢	$0	−$9.93	−$0.30	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11?	Yes	25	40.4¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.30	ended
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	No	24	94.1¢	0¢	$0	−$23	−$12	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 23?	Yes	24	17.2¢	0¢	$0	−$4.14	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 9?	Yes	24	41.6¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.29	ended
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 12?	Yes	24	42¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.29	ended
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 10?	Yes	23	42.7¢	0¢	$0	−$10	−$0.59	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 22?	Yes	23	62.1¢	0¢	$0	−$14	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 11?	Yes	23	43¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.28	ended
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 11?	Yes	23	43¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.28	ended
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 11?	Yes	23	43.8¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.28	ended
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 12?	Yes	23	44¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.28	ended
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 4?	Yes	22	46.3¢	0¢	$0	−$10	−$0.28	ended
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 13?	Yes	22	45¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.28	ended
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	22	45¢	0¢	$0	−$9.90	−$0.27	ended
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	22	45.6¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.27	ended
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 13?	Yes	22	45.6¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.27	ended
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 1?	Yes	22	46¢	0¢	$0	−$10	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	22	46¢	0¢	$0	−$10	−$0.21	ended
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 12?	Yes	22	46¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.27	ended
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 6?	Yes	22	46.4¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.27	ended
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	21	47.1¢	0¢	$0	−$10	$0	ended
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	21	46¢	0¢	$0	−$9.66	−$0.14	ended
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 11?	Yes	21	47.8¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.26	ended
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 16?	Yes	21	48.3¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.26	ended
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 6?	Yes	21	48.3¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.26	ended
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	21	10¢	0¢	$0	−$2.06	−$0.04	ended
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	21	48.8¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.26	ended
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	21	5¢	0¢	$0	−$1.02	+$4.10	ended
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 8?	Yes	20	49¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.26	ended
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 29?	Yes	20	49.2¢	0¢	$0	−$9.95	−$0.05	ended
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 8?	Yes	20	51¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.24	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
2d ago	BUY No	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	87.9¢	228	$200	80%	48
2d ago	BUY No	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	74.9¢	120	$90	80%	48
2d ago	BUY No	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	48.1¢	416	$200	80%	48
16d ago	BUY No	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	27.4¢	182	$50	80%	48
24d ago	SELL No	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	41.1¢	98	$40	80%	48
24d ago	BUY No	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	50.8¢	98	$50	80%	48
1mo ago	BUY No	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	78.5¢	76	$60	80%	48
1mo ago	BUY No	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	88.3¢	57	$50	80%	48
1mo ago	BUY No	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	39.3¢	180	$71	80%	48
1mo ago	BUY No	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	98¢	62	$61	80%	48
2mo ago	BUY No	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	76.1¢	58	$44	80%	48
2mo ago	BUY No	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	94.1¢	109	$103	80%	48
2mo ago	BUY No	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	98¢	123	$121	80%	48
2mo ago	BUY No	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	52.9¢	168	$89	80%	48
2mo ago	BUY No	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	62.4¢	287	$179	80%	48
3mo ago	SELL Yes	Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	18¢	1	$0.18	80%	48
3mo ago	SELL Yes	Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	16¢	18	$2.83	80%	48
3mo ago	SELL Yes	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	31¢	5	$1.55	80%	48
3mo ago	BUY Yes	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	30¢	5	$1.50	80%	48
3mo ago	BUY Yes	Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	10¢	19	$1.88	80%	48