sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

gmeowcl

0xd03…46b1
WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSportOtherWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,147vol $351k
PnL 30d+$3,613gains $2,399 · losses $6,332
PnL 7d+$185win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate74.1%adj 67.9% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$28.0kcash n/a
Positions22 / 80open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 5d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,425below peak −$1,731Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 74.1% · shrunk toward 50%70
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable63
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d83
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? · Noclosed+$1,552Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen+$1,330Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$1,323Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Noclosed+$1,298Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$642

Worst markets

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Noclosed−$4,762U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Yesclosed−$2,028Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$1,426Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Noclosed−$257Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Noopen−$174

Open positions · 22

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes8,92871.8¢86.7¢$7,736+$1,330$0
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No5,63385.8¢97.2¢$5,475+$642$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo3,10092¢91.5¢$2,837−$16$0
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No2,59596.1¢93.5¢$2,425−$68$0
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No2,38895.2¢92¢$2,197−$76$0
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No2,29390.6¢83¢$1,903−$174$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,10085¢82¢$902−$33$0
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?No84974.7¢97.9¢$831+$197+$1.08
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No83193.1¢95¢$789+$15+$40
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes76369¢98.1¢$748+$222+$42
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes62656.2¢95¢$595+$243$0
Will Texas State have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No45590.1¢98.8¢$449+$40$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00030¢41.5¢$415+$115$0
Will Texas State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No39766.3¢68.5¢$272+$8.79$0
OpenAI IPO before 2027?No17984¢96.7¢$173+$23$0
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?No12691¢95.1¢$119+$5.09+$50
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?No6193.4¢96.4¢$58+$1.78$0
Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes5620.8¢5.4¢$30+$25$0
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?No151.2¢5.5¢$0.84+$0.65$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on September 30, 2026?Yes11029.8¢0¢$0−$33+$6.15
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?No10041¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?No2017.3¢0¢$0−$3.48−$0.12

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?0.8¢562$4.7174%32
BUY NoWill Texas State have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?90.1¢455$41074%32
BUY NoWill Texas State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?66.3¢397$26374%32
BUY NoWill the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?1.2¢15$0.1974%32
BUY NoWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?17.3¢20$3.4874%32
SELL YesWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on September 30, 2026?41.7¢70$2974%32
SELL NoGTA VI released by November 30?8¢317$2574%32
BUY NoGTA VI released by November 30?7.8¢4,255$33274%32
BUY NoWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?82.8¢289$24074%32
BUY YesWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on September 30, 2026?29.8¢180$5474%32
BUY YesWill the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?60¢10$6.0074%32
BUY NoWill the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?41¢106$4374%32
BUY NoCrypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?91¢926$84374%32
BUY GiantsGiants vs. Rams28¢100$2874%32
BUY NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?92¢80$7474%32
SELL NoWill there be at least 3500+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026?6.4¢71$4.5174%32
BUY NoWill Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?98¢172$16874%32
BUY YesWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?70¢411$28874%32
SELL YesWill OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?10.4¢203$2174%32
BUY NoWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?92¢134$12474%32