sharpside
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Traders/Rank #9,814

0xd04…c496

0xd04…c496
SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,212vol $78.6k
PnL 30d+$138gains $153 · losses $14
PnL 7d+$47win rate 7d 80.0%
Win rate50.2%adj 50.2% · 30d 89.5%
Open value$1,419cash n/a
Positions21 / 232open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 50.2% · shrunk toward 50%26
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable79
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 20

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No17079.8¢99¢$168+$33$0
Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?No15990.5¢97.3¢$155+$11$0
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?No15896.1¢95.2¢$150−$1.48$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No15197.8¢99.5¢$150+$2.60$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes12086.9¢98.2¢$118+$14$0
Houthi military action against Mecca by October 31, 2026?No12095.5¢96.4¢$116+$1.12$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No9095¢96.7¢$87+$1.53+$2.68
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No7091.4¢93.5¢$65+$1.46$0
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?Yes8273.2¢73.5¢$60+$0.23$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No6784.9¢82.5¢$55−$1.64−$0.34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No6246.1¢88.5¢$55+$26$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No8858.5¢56.6¢$50−$1.72$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No5985¢83.5¢$49−$0.88$0
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?No14167.6¢30.5¢$43−$52$0
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No4085¢85.5¢$34+$0.20$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No4078.3¢68.5¢$27−$3.90$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes3065¢51¢$15−$4.20$0
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028?Yes3018¢30.5¢$9.15+$3.75+$1.14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes2038¢37¢$7.40−$0.20$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1502.9¢1.8¢$2.63−$1.72$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?95¢20$1950%47
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?96.1¢137$13250%47
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?96¢21$2050%47
SELL NoNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?99.7¢168$16850%47
SELL YesWill Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028?30¢10$3.0050%47
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?94¢10$9.5450%47
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?98.5¢48$4750%47
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?4.3¢20$0.8650%47
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?98.7¢61$6050%47
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?97.4¢25$2550%47
SELL YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?99.2¢25$2550%47
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?92¢12$1150%47
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?38¢20$7.6050%47
BUY YesNATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?23¢10$2.3050%47
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?94¢10$9.3950%47
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?89¢15$1350%47
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85¢40$3450%47
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?87¢30$2650%47
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?97.6¢50$4950%47
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?79¢30$2450%47