PnL all-time−$755vol $7,400
PnL 30d+$1.49gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$3.14win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate60.0%adj 52.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$625cash n/a
Positions14 / 19open / all-time
Max drawdown−47.8%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 8mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$861below peak −$238Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
10/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 60.0% · shrunk toward 50%30
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity52
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 14
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 409 | 44¢ | 100¢ | $409 | +$229 | $0 | |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 111 | 36¢ | 100¢ | $111 | +$71 | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 46 | 43.7¢ | 100¢ | $46 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Raptors vs. Pacers | Raptors | 35 | 57¢ | 100¢ | $35 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 50 | 40.4¢ | 23.5¢ | $12 | −$8.37 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 200 | 50¢ | 5.5¢ | $11 | −$89 | $0 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 50 | 20¢ | 2.3¢ | $1.13 | −$8.88 | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 655 | 27.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$180 | $0 | |
| Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | Yes | 508 | 59¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$300 | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 306 | 9.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Yes | 91 | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | Yes | 83 | 24¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? | Yes | 65 | 61.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | $0 |
Recent trades
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