sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Fire13

0xd06…5ccd
WR 60+1y+PoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,998vol $295k
PnL 30d−$708gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1,062win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate63.2%adj 61.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,459cash n/a
Positions15 / 140open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,289below peak −$4,786Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 63.2% · shrunk toward 50%54
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable72
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No67830.9¢91.5¢$621+$411+$380
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?No1,36414¢38¢$518+$327+$16
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?No3,77315¢13.5¢$509−$56$0
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?No1,00010¢34¢$340+$240$0
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?No19873.7¢84.5¢$167+$21$0
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?No28847.4¢48.5¢$140+$3.19$0
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No4,9405.2¢2.2¢$106−$153$0
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?No1,21917.6¢4.7¢$57−$157$0
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?No4,97464.3¢0¢$0−$3,197$0
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? No3,16711.5¢0¢$0−$363+$39
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?No1,68155.5¢0¢$0−$934+$161
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?No42332.9¢0¢$0−$139$0
No airdrop in 2025?Yes30314.9¢0¢$0−$45$0
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes25538.1¢0¢$0−$97$0
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1192.3¢0¢$0−$2.73$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?15¢64$9.5563%36
BUY NoWill Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?15¢3,710$55663%36
SELL NoWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?89¢678$60463%36
BUY NoWill Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?33¢6$2.0663%36
SELL NoMultipli.fi FDV above $20M one day after launch?5.1¢45$2.3063%36
BUY NoWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?81¢28$2363%36
BUY NoWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?72.5¢170$12363%36
SELL NoWill Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?86.6¢173$15063%36
BUY NoPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?6.5¢182$1263%36
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?0.7¢1,817$1363%36
BUY NoWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?35¢25$8.7863%36
BUY NoWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?35¢5$1.7563%36
BUY NoWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?36¢8$2.9463%36
SELL NoArc FDV above $800M one day after launch?23.8¢156$3763%36
BUY NoWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?36¢5$1.6363%36
BUY NoWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?35¢5$1.7563%36
BUY NoWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?35.3¢15$5.3063%36
SELL NoArc FDV above $800M one day after launch?31¢31$9.5563%36
SELL NoWill Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?72¢8$5.9863%36
BUY NoArc FDV above $800M one day after launch?17¢406$6963%36