| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 905 | 51.5¢ | 75.5¢ | $683 | +$217 | $0 | |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | Yes | 355 | 54.3¢ | 89.9¢ | $319 | +$126 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 365 | 45.5¢ | 80.5¢ | $294 | +$128 | −$0.15 | |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 295 | 33.1¢ | 89¢ | $263 | +$165 | +$0.39 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 385 | 49¢ | 61.5¢ | $237 | +$48 | $0 | |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 355 | 44.7¢ | 59.5¢ | $211 | +$53 | $0 | |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 905 | 41.3¢ | 22.2¢ | $200 | −$173 | −$0.34 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 280 | 60.4¢ | 70.5¢ | $197 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | Yes | 180 | 56.1¢ | 86.5¢ | $156 | +$55 | $0 | |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 355 | 43.6¢ | 37.5¢ | $133 | −$22 | +$0.18 | |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 176 | 22¢ | 65.5¢ | $115 | +$77 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 385 | 34¢ | 28.5¢ | $110 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 150 | 55¢ | 63.5¢ | $95 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | Yes | 89 | 3.3¢ | 83.4¢ | $74 | +$71 | $0 | |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 80 | 44.2¢ | 92¢ | $74 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 165 | 40.2¢ | 44.5¢ | $73 | +$7.08 | $0 | |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 75 | 75.2¢ | 94.9¢ | $71 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026? | Yes | 165 | 35.8¢ | 42.5¢ | $70 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 95 | 51.8¢ | 73.5¢ | $70 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 280 | 20.9¢ | 24.5¢ | $69 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting? | Yes | 85 | 73.3¢ | 76.3¢ | $65 | +$2.53 | −$0.38 | |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%? | Yes | 110 | 50¢ | 57.5¢ | $63 | +$8.20 | +$0.53 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 140 | 33.2¢ | 45¢ | $63 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 85 | 39.2¢ | 69.8¢ | $59 | +$26 | −$0.10 | |
| Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? | Yes | 60 | 30.2¢ | 88.9¢ | $53 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will the Vikings win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 100 | 37¢ | 52¢ | $52 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 165 | 23.7¢ | 31.5¢ | $52 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | Yes | 60 | 81¢ | 86.5¢ | $52 | +$3.30 | $0 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 75 | 31.2¢ | 67.6¢ | $51 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 96 | 27.5¢ | 52.1¢ | $50 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 65 | 73¢ | 75.5¢ | $49 | +$1.63 | $0 | |
| Will the season series between the Bears and Lions end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 95 | 52.7¢ | 51.5¢ | $49 | −$1.12 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 150 | 36¢ | 32.5¢ | $49 | −$5.25 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 60 | 43.2¢ | 78.5¢ | $47 | +$21 | −$0.14 | |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 176 | 46.7¢ | 26.5¢ | $47 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in October 2026? | Yes | 161 | 23.6¢ | 29¢ | $47 | +$8.68 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 65 | 67.7¢ | 71.5¢ | $46 | +$2.48 | $0 | |
| Will the season series between the Packers and Vikings end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 96 | 58¢ | 46¢ | $44 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026? | Yes | 165 | 30.3¢ | 26.5¢ | $44 | −$6.31 | $0 | |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 100 | 39.1¢ | 43¢ | $43 | +$3.88 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? | Yes | 370 | 26.8¢ | 11.5¢ | $43 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 85 | 45.1¢ | 49.5¢ | $42 | +$3.71 | −$1.60 | |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | Yes | 45 | 81.2¢ | 92¢ | $41 | +$4.85 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 75 | 54.4¢ | 54.5¢ | $41 | +$0.08 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 85 | 39.8¢ | 46.5¢ | $40 | +$5.66 | −$0.02 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 108 | 43.3¢ | 36.5¢ | $39 | −$7.32 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 40 | 59¢ | 94¢ | $38 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 55 | 77.2¢ | 68.1¢ | $37 | −$5.02 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 130 | 19.1¢ | 28.5¢ | $37 | +$12 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 385 | 12¢ | 9.5¢ | $37 | −$9.63 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 107 | 28.1¢ | 32.5¢ | $35 | +$4.68 | $0 | |
| Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? | Yes | 60 | 44.3¢ | 57.5¢ | $35 | +$7.90 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 130 | 21.1¢ | 26.5¢ | $34 | +$7.05 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 130 | 28.9¢ | 26¢ | $34 | −$3.80 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 85 | 22.6¢ | 39.5¢ | $34 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? | Yes | 75 | 28.2¢ | 44.5¢ | $33 | +$12 | +$0.09 | |
| Will the Bears win the season series against the Lions during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 95 | 20.7¢ | 35¢ | $33 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 108 | 14.4¢ | 30.5¢ | $33 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 45 | 51.4¢ | 69.5¢ | $31 | +$8.13 | $0 | |
| Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 87 | 38.9¢ | 35.5¢ | $31 | −$2.92 | $0 | |
| Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 87 | 40.5¢ | 35¢ | $30 | −$4.82 | $0 | |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? | Yes | 70 | 29.7¢ | 42.5¢ | $30 | +$8.95 | $0 | |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 295 | 59.9¢ | 10¢ | $30 | −$147 | $0 | |
| Will the Lions win the season series against the Bears during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 95 | 22.5¢ | 31¢ | $29 | +$8.10 | $0 | |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%? | Yes | 110 | 14.1¢ | 26.6¢ | $29 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? | Yes | 70 | 28¢ | 41¢ | $29 | +$9.07 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 145 | 22.9¢ | 19.7¢ | $29 | −$4.64 | −$0.24 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 145 | 23.7¢ | 19¢ | $28 | −$6.85 | −$0.27 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 107 | 22.1¢ | 25.5¢ | $27 | +$3.59 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 35 | 64¢ | 76.5¢ | $27 | +$4.38 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 165 | 24.1¢ | 16¢ | $26 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 75 | 26.1¢ | 34.5¢ | $26 | +$6.28 | $0 | |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 100 | 25.7¢ | 25.5¢ | $26 | −$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 108 | 22.4¢ | 23.5¢ | $25 | +$1.18 | $0 | |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? | Yes | 60 | 30.9¢ | 41.5¢ | $25 | +$6.35 | $0 | |
| Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 87 | 13.1¢ | 26.5¢ | $23 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 107 | 20.1¢ | 21.5¢ | $23 | +$1.53 | +$0.03 | |
| Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? | Yes | 60 | 23.7¢ | 37.5¢ | $23 | +$8.30 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 34 | 70.6¢ | 66¢ | $22 | −$1.55 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 85 | 49.5¢ | 25.9¢ | $22 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31? | Yes | 75 | 16.9¢ | 28.5¢ | $21 | +$8.68 | $0 | |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%? | Yes | 80 | 18.8¢ | 26.5¢ | $21 | +$6.15 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? | Yes | 40 | 42.6¢ | 52.5¢ | $21 | +$3.95 | $0 | |
| Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 55 | 39.9¢ | 38¢ | $21 | −$1.05 | $0 | |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 40 | 23.3¢ | 52¢ | $21 | +$11 | +$1.59 | |
| Will one person dissent the December Fed decision? | Yes | 75 | 31.4¢ | 27.5¢ | $21 | −$2.93 | $0 | |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? | Yes | 80 | 31.9¢ | 25.5¢ | $20 | −$5.12 | $0 | |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%? | Yes | 55 | 20.1¢ | 36.5¢ | $20 | +$9.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | Yes | 85 | 21.2¢ | 23.1¢ | $20 | +$1.58 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 145 | 14¢ | 13.5¢ | $20 | −$0.72 | −$0.23 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 85 | 31.2¢ | 22.5¢ | $19 | −$7.37 | $0 | |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%? | Yes | 55 | 49.4¢ | 34.5¢ | $19 | −$8.22 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000? | Yes | 35 | 37.7¢ | 53.2¢ | $19 | +$5.39 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | Yes | 40 | 40.6¢ | 46.5¢ | $19 | +$2.35 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 75 | 37.9¢ | 24.5¢ | $18 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 85 | 20.9¢ | 21.5¢ | $18 | +$0.53 | $0 | |
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? | Yes | 25 | 66¢ | 73¢ | $18 | +$1.75 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 65 | 23.4¢ | 28¢ | $18 | +$3.01 | +$0.25 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 130 | 21.2¢ | 13.9¢ | $18 | −$9.53 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 96 | 15.5¢ | 18.4¢ | $18 | +$2.73 | +$0.26 | |