Traders/Rank #5,480

happy666

0xd17…7a0c

WR 70+WR 60+1y+CryptoWeather

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$4,014vol $2.04M

PnL 30d−$1,098gains $348 · losses $1,311

PnL 7d−$111win rate 7d 26.7%

Win rate71.1%adj 70.3% · 30d 51.0%

Open value$217cash n/a

Positions103 / 2,442open / all-time

Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak

Account age1.2ylast trade 2m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,440below peak −$10.7kOct 11

SharpScore inputs

42/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 71.1% · shrunk toward 50%76

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET · Downclosed+$63 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET · Downclosed+$52 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Downclosed+$45 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Upclosed+$39 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Downclosed+$36

Worst markets

Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET · Downclosed−$3,917 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET · Downclosed−$2,227 Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Upclosed−$930 Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET · Upclosed−$930 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Upclosed−$927

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	No	314	74¢	69¢	$217	−$16	$0	27mo
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	366	2.8¢	0¢	$0	−$10	−$0.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	218	10.7¢	0¢	$0	−$23	−$1.46	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	211	9¢	0¢	$0	−$19	−$1.21	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	199	11.7¢	0¢	$0	−$23	−$1.44	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	180	13¢	0¢	$0	−$23	−$1.42	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	127	7¢	0¢	$0	−$8.84	−$0.48	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	103	3¢	0¢	$0	−$3.10	−$0.21	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	102	23¢	0¢	$0	−$23	−$1.26	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	97	24.3¢	0¢	$0	−$24	−$1.17	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	91	21¢	0¢	$0	−$19	−$1.05	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	88	2.9¢	0¢	$0	−$2.58	−$0.18	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	81	26¢	0¢	$0	−$21	−$1.09	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	80	14.3¢	0¢	$0	−$11	−$0.58	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	79	3¢	0¢	$0	−$2.37	−$0.16	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	75	24¢	0¢	$0	−$18	−$0.96	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	73	19¢	0¢	$0	−$14	−$0.78	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	65	24¢	0¢	$0	−$16	−$0.83	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	65	21¢	0¢	$0	−$14	−$0.75	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	57	29.4¢	0¢	$0	−$17	−$0.80	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	53	25¢	0¢	$0	−$13	−$0.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	52	44¢	0¢	$0	−$23	−$0.90	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	52	24¢	0¢	$0	−$12	−$0.66	ended
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 5?	Yes	51	44¢	0¢	$0	−$22	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	48	48¢	0¢	$0	−$23	−$0.84	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	47	49.7¢	0¢	$0	−$23	−$0.80	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	47	50¢	0¢	$0	−$23	−$0.81	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	46	26¢	0¢	$0	−$12	−$0.61	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	43	17¢	0¢	$0	−$7.38	−$0.43	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	43	53.9¢	0¢	$0	−$23	−$0.75	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	43	26¢	0¢	$0	−$11	−$0.58	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	42	28¢	0¢	$0	−$12	−$0.60	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	40	28¢	0¢	$0	−$11	−$0.57	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	40	53¢	0¢	$0	−$21	−$0.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	40	52¢	0¢	$0	−$21	−$0.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	40	51¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$0.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	40	52¢	0¢	$0	−$21	−$0.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	40	51.2¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$0.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	40	51¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$0.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	40	51¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$0.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	40	53¢	0¢	$0	−$21	−$0.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	40	52¢	0¢	$0	−$21	−$0.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	40	51¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$0.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	40	51¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$0.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	40	51¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$0.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	40	51¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$0.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	40	51.2¢	0¢	$0	−$21	−$0.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	40	53¢	0¢	$0	−$21	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	40	53¢	0¢	$0	−$21	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	40	28.2¢	0¢	$0	−$11	−$0.56	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	37	7¢	0¢	$0	−$2.59	−$0.17	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	35	27¢	0¢	$0	−$9.45	−$0.48	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	35	30¢	0¢	$0	−$10	−$0.51	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	33	40¢	0¢	$0	−$13	−$0.56	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	33	30¢	0¢	$0	−$9.92	−$0.49	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	33	41¢	0¢	$0	−$14	−$0.56	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	33	27¢	0¢	$0	−$8.84	−$0.45	ended
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 5?	Yes	32	46¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	32	28¢	0¢	$0	−$8.97	−$0.45	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	32	23¢	0¢	$0	−$7.25	−$0.39	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	30	34¢	0¢	$0	−$10	−$0.47	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	30	29¢	0¢	$0	−$8.64	−$0.43	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	30	37¢	0¢	$0	−$11	−$0.49	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	29	26¢	0¢	$0	−$7.56	−$0.39	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	28	29¢	0¢	$0	−$8.16	−$0.41	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	26	33¢	0¢	$0	−$8.58	−$0.40	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	25	25¢	0¢	$0	−$6.20	−$0.33	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	23	31¢	0¢	$0	−$7.14	−$0.34	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	23	56¢	0¢	$0	−$13	−$0.40	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	23	29¢	0¢	$0	−$6.66	−$0.33	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	23	26¢	0¢	$0	−$5.94	−$0.31	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	23	28¢	0¢	$0	−$6.38	−$0.32	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	22	34¢	0¢	$0	−$7.56	−$0.35	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	22	28¢	0¢	$0	−$6.20	−$0.31	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	22	28¢	0¢	$0	−$6.03	−$0.30	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	21	27¢	0¢	$0	−$5.78	−$0.30	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	21	8¢	0¢	$0	−$1.71	−$0.11	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	20	40¢	0¢	$0	−$8.18	−$0.34	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	20	18¢	0¢	$0	−$3.60	−$0.21	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	20	52¢	0¢	$0	−$10	−$0.35	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	20	32¢	0¢	$0	−$6.29	−$0.30	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	20	17¢	0¢	$0	−$3.34	−$0.19	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	19	33¢	0¢	$0	−$6.12	−$0.29	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	18	25¢	0¢	$0	−$4.62	−$0.24	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	18	41¢	0¢	$0	−$7.56	−$0.31	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	16	33¢	0¢	$0	−$5.13	−$0.24	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	15	15¢	0¢	$0	−$2.31	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	15	29¢	0¢	$0	−$4.34	−$0.22	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	15	41¢	0¢	$0	−$6.02	−$0.25	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	13	26¢	0¢	$0	−$3.36	−$0.17	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	12	20¢	0¢	$0	−$2.31	−$0.13	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	11	33¢	0¢	$0	−$3.78	−$0.18	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	11	35¢	0¢	$0	−$3.96	−$0.18	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	10	31¢	0¢	$0	−$3.15	−$0.15	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	10	32¢	0¢	$0	−$3.24	−$0.15	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	10	57¢	0¢	$0	−$5.51	−$0.17	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	9	49¢	0¢	$0	−$4.59	−$0.16	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	9	34¢	0¢	$0	−$3.08	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	9	33¢	0¢	$0	−$2.97	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	9	33¢	0¢	$0	−$2.89	−$0.14	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
2m ago	SELL Commanders	Spread: Commanders (-3.5)	47¢	4,166	$1,958	71%	42
1h ago	SELL Over	Colts vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5	48¢	10.0k	$4,800	71%	42
4d ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 7?	28¢	200	$56	71%	42
5d ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 7?	45.7¢	140	$64	71%	42
6d ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 6?	35.9¢	28	$10	71%	42
6d ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 5?	44.5¢	40	$18	71%	42
6d ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 5?	36.9¢	356	$131	71%	42
7d ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 5?	43.8¢	15	$6.44	71%	42
7d ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 5?	43¢	28	$12	71%	42
7d ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 5?	44¢	181	$80	71%	42
7d ago	SELL Yes	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	53.9¢	345	$186	71%	42
9d ago	SELL Yes	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	59.7¢	8,610	$5,140	71%	42
10d ago	SELL Yes	Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	31¢	200	$62	71%	42
10d ago	SELL Yes	Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	32¢	200	$64	71%	42
11d ago	SELL Yes	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	25¢	200	$50	71%	42
12d ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 30?	32.5¢	158	$51	71%	42
12d ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 29?	41.4¢	197	$82	71%	42
12d ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?	35.8¢	200	$72	71%	42
14d ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 28?	39¢	10	$3.94	71%	42
18d ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 23?	32¢	13	$4.01	71%	42