PnL all-time+$36vol $4,419
PnL 30d+$0.02gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 74.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$404cash n/a
Positions9 / 28open / all-time
Max drawdown−4.6%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$37below peak $0Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale22
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%86
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable48
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? · Yesopen+$91Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February? · Noclosed+$9.04Over $140M committed to the Solomon public sale? · Noclosed+$7.06Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October? · Noclosed+$1.98Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March? · Noopen+$0.90
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? · Yesopen−$22Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? · Yesopen−$18Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? · Yesopen−$16Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? · Yesopen−$13Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? · Yesopen−$10
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March? | No | 302 | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $302 | +$0.90 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 9¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$91 | $0 | |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 1 | 84¢ | 95.5¢ | $1.14 | +$0.14 | $0 | |
| Will Trump post "Ass" on Truth Social this week? | No | 1 | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | $1.04 | +$0.04 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 12.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 16.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 22.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 99 | 18.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | $0 |
Recent trades
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