sharpside
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Traders/Rank #84

weatherman12

0xd1c…cbd0
PnL 1M+PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1.83Mvol $45.8M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate95.5%adj 73.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions20 / 42open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 2mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2.10Mbelow peak $0Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale89
Adjusted win rateraw 95.5% · shrunk toward 50%85
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable54
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 · Underclosed+$2.04MWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Noclosed+$1.08MSpain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 · Underclosed+$995kWill France win on 2026-07-09? · Yesclosed+$777kMexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 · Underclosed+$698k

Worst markets

Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yesopen−$1.83MWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16? · Noclosed−$1.21MWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19? · Noopen−$1.07MWill France win on 2026-06-16? · Noopen−$685kSpread: Argentina (-1.5) · Algeriaopen−$637k

Open positions · 20

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes2.95M61.3¢0¢$0−$1.81M−$18.4k
Will France win on 2026-06-16?No2.00M33.9¢0¢$0−$678k−$6,732
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?No1.83M57.8¢0¢$0−$1.05M−$13.1k
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?Yes1.15M47.9¢0¢$0−$549k−$8,577
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Under1.04M44.4¢0¢$0−$463k−$7,025
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Algeria1.01M62.4¢0¢$0−$630k−$7,008
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?No975k44.2¢0¢$0−$431k−$7,782
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?No956k49¢0¢$0−$468k−$6,400
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?Yes942k51.5¢0¢$0−$485k−$3,332
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes803k13¢0¢$0−$104k−$2,596
Spread: Norway (-2.5)Iraq562k68.5¢0¢$0−$385k−$3,637
Spread: France (-1.5)Senegal522k60¢0¢$0−$313k$0
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes317k4¢0¢$0−$12.8k−$61
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?Yes317k33.8¢0¢$0−$107k−$2,122
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?Yes273k54.9¢0¢$0−$150k−$2,031
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-17?Yes229k56¢0¢$0−$128k−$1,663
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?Yes107k55.8¢0¢$0−$59.7k−$789
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Under24.5k68¢0¢$0−$16.6k$0
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Yes8913.5¢0¢$0−$12−$0.52
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes2934.7¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.33

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?46.5¢7,739$3,59996%32
BUY NoWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?46.5¢41.4k$19.2k96%32Whale
BUY NoWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?43.3¢193k$83.5k96%32Whale
BUY NoWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?43.3¢300k$130k96%32Whale
BUY NoWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?43¢313k$134k96%32Whale
BUY NoWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?42.8¢134k$57.4k96%32Whale
BUY NoWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?42.8¢111k$47.7k96%32Whale
BUY NoWill England win on 2026-07-11?51.3¢371k$190k96%32Whale
BUY NoWill England win on 2026-07-11?50.8¢181k$92.0k96%32Whale
BUY NoWill England win on 2026-07-11?50.7¢206k$105k96%32Whale
BUY UnderNorway vs. England: O/U 2.542.8¢55.0k$23.5k96%32Whale
BUY UnderNorway vs. England: O/U 2.542.5¢257k$109k96%32Whale
BUY UnderNorway vs. England: O/U 2.542.8¢110k$47.2k96%32Whale
BUY UnderNorway vs. England: O/U 2.542.7¢72.0k$30.7k96%32Whale
BUY UnderNorway vs. England: O/U 2.542.3¢82.8k$35.0k96%32Whale
BUY NoWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?44.6¢547k$244k96%32Whale
BUY NoWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?43.8¢5,663$2,47796%32
BUY NoWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?42.7¢10.4k$4,44496%32
BUY NoWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?42.9¢67.6k$29.0k96%32Whale
BUY YesWill France win on 2026-07-09?61.3¢3,339$2,04596%32