PnL all-time−$5,907vol $868k
PnL 30d−$964gains $3,220 · losses $4,007
PnL 7d+$1,039win rate 7d 96.0%
Win rate94.8%adj 93.1% · 30d 97.4%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions6 / 6,562open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 39m ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$4,982below peak −$5,600Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 94.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? · Yesclosed+$773Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2? · Noclosed+$275Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7? · Yesclosed+$270Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 28? · Noclosed+$251Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 14? · Noclosed+$224
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10? · Noclosed−$2,534Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4? · Noclosed−$2,437Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17? · Noclosed−$2,170Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25? · Noclosed−$1,807Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 12? · Noclosed−$1,256
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 13? | No | 912 | 93.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$856 | −$2.59 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 15? | Yes | 695 | 85.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$595 | −$4.28 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 17? | Yes | 686 | 85.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$588 | −$3.44 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 13? | No | 464 | 96¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$445 | −$0.88 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 22? | Yes | 228 | 91.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$209 | −$0.89 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 4? | No | 190 | 80.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$153 | −$1.40 |
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