PnL all-time−$305vol $65.7k
PnL 30d+$834gains $682 · losses $329
PnL 7d+$344win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate75.5%adj 72.5% · 30d 83.3%
Open value$1,130cash n/a
Positions10 / 157open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 22h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$43below peak −$267Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 75.5% · shrunk toward 50%81
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable73
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10AM ET · Upclosed+$204Will White House post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · Yesopen+$161Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025? · Noclosed+$95Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yesclosed+$95Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yesclosed+$94
Worst markets
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11AM ET · Downclosed−$461Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? · Noclosed−$361Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11AM ET · Upclosed−$306Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Upopen−$300Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yesclosed−$202
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will White House post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Yes | 765 | 65.4¢ | 86.5¢ | $661 | +$161 | $0 | |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 222 | 83¢ | 96.5¢ | $214 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 160 | 81¢ | 98.5¢ | $158 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 125 | 79.9¢ | 77¢ | $96 | −$3.74 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | Up | 647 | 46.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$300 | $0 | |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 217 | 68.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$149 | $0 | |
| Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? | Yes | 129 | 77.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 110 | 91¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4AM ET | Up | 96 | 88.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$85 | +$17 | |
| Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player? | Yes | 51 | 38.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 |
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