| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 20.0k | 99.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $19.9k | +$90 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 25.0k | 61.1¢ | 62.5¢ | $15.6k | +$345 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 22.0k | 58¢ | 63.5¢ | $13.9k | +$1,215 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 13.2k | 62.9¢ | 85.7¢ | $11.3k | +$2,999 | +$4,324 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 12.0k | 69.3¢ | 63.5¢ | $7,601 | −$695 | −$338 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8,000 | 71.9¢ | 71.5¢ | $5,720 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8,573 | 59.7¢ | 62.5¢ | $5,358 | +$240 | $0 | |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 4,800 | 85.8¢ | 86.5¢ | $4,152 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 3,309 | 69.8¢ | 72.5¢ | $2,399 | +$88 | $0 | |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 4,901 | 57.8¢ | 48.5¢ | $2,377 | −$458 | $0 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 2,309 | 83.9¢ | 79.5¢ | $1,836 | −$101 | −$59 | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 2,421 | 67.3¢ | 67¢ | $1,621 | −$9.47 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2,509 | 55.4¢ | 54.5¢ | $1,367 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2,000 | 59¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,250 | +$70 | $0 | |
| Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | 1,000 | 71¢ | 100¢ | $1,000 | +$290 | +$126 | |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 1,000 | 80¢ | 84.1¢ | $841 | +$41 | +$698 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 77¢ | 81.5¢ | $815 | +$45 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,000 | 60¢ | 61.5¢ | $615 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,379 | 45.7¢ | 44.5¢ | $614 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 518 | 66.3¢ | 57.5¢ | $298 | −$46 | −$534 | |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 201 | 86¢ | 87.5¢ | $176 | +$3.02 | $0 | |
| Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | Yes | 465 | 32¢ | 37.5¢ | $174 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Sweden snap election called in 2026? | No | 160 | 79¢ | 85¢ | $136 | +$9.61 | $0 | |
| Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election? | Yes | 28 | 91¢ | 89.5¢ | $25 | −$0.42 | $0 | |
| Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | Yes | 11 | 56¢ | 59¢ | $6.23 | +$0.32 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 3,418 | 18.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $3.42 | −$618 | $0 | |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 22 | 80¢ | 2¢ | $0.44 | −$17 | −$6.01 | |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | No | 8,734 | 7.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$655 | −$828 | |
| Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | Yes | 7,000 | 29.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,050 | −$41 | |
| Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | Yes | 5,005 | 44.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,225 | −$474 | |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 4,380 | 21¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$920 | +$2,299 | |
| Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections? | No | 4,320 | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$238 | −$0.37 | |
| Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? | Yes | 3,516 | 67.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,359 | −$310 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | Yes | 3,161 | 25.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$810 | −$43 | |
| Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | No | 3,000 | 30.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$914 | −$224 | |
| Will voter turnout be at least 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election? | Yes | 2,498 | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$29 | −$0.88 | |
| Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 2,263 | 22.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$518 | −$9.31 | |
| Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | No | 2,205 | 68.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,513 | −$4.74 | |
| Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | 2,061 | 29.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$604 | −$8.85 | |
| Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | No | 2,037 | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$28 | −$1.58 | |
| Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | Yes | 2,004 | 30.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$604 | −$7.69 | |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | No | 2,000 | 24¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$480 | $0 | |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 2,000 | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$78 | −$739 | |
| Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 1,832 | 14.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$261 | −$2.88 | |
| Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 1,803 | 33¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$595 | −$73 | |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%? | Under | 1,751 | 34.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$604 | −$9.98 | |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1,710 | 15.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$271 | −$17 | |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | No | 1,482 | 29.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$443 | −$5.98 | |
| Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party? | Yes | 1,420 | 26.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$379 | $0 | |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | No | 1,384 | 82¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,135 | −$2.27 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | Yes | 1,355 | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$61 | −$2.82 | |
| Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | Yes | 1,308 | 12.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$162 | $0 | |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%? | Over | 1,260 | 45.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$572 | −$334 | |
| Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1,018 | 34¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$346 | −$315 | |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 1,000 | 7.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$75 | −$13 | |
| Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | No | 1,000 | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1,000 | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 999 | 15.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$152 | $0 | |
| Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | Yes | 994 | 52¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$517 | −$121 | |
| Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | Yes | 986 | 7.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$71 | +$447 | |
| Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | No | 970 | 36¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$349 | −$3.52 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | Yes | 912 | 10.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$96 | −$101 | |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes? | Yes | 911 | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$26 | −$0.52 | |
| Will the Labour Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | No | 830 | 6.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$57 | −$8.33 | |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more? | No | 800 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$160 | +$38 | |
| Will Diop Harris be the MI-04 Democratic nominee? | Yes | 795 | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22 | −$0.86 | |
| Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? | Yes | 775 | 15.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$121 | −$102 | |
| Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? | Yes | 757 | 41.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$312 | −$6.78 | |
| Will PJD win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | Yes | 751 | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | +$11 | |
| Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election? | No | 734 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$88 | $0 | |
| Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | No | 700 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$133 | −$36 | |
| Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 615 | 3.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 7-10%? | No | 563 | 51.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$290 | +$2.11 | |
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes? | Yes | 505 | 19.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$99 | −$3.15 | |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? | No | 500 | 72¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$360 | −$4.03 | |
| Will Joy Powers be the VA-09 Democratic nominee? | No | 500 | 44¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$220 | −$4.93 | |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Yes | 500 | 41.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$209 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 500 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 500 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election? | Yes | 500 | 14¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$70 | $0 | |
| Will Christian Democrats (KD) win less than 5% of all valid votes? | Yes | 442 | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$38 | −$7.40 | |
| Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? | Yes | 438 | 17.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$75 | −$1.05 | |
| Will Left Party (V) win less than 5% of all valid votes? | Yes | 437 | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | −$0.34 | |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 412 | 6.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$26 | −$0.77 | |
| Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? | Yes | 406 | 32.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$133 | −$3.57 | |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%? | Yes | 384 | 76.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$293 | +$217 | |
| Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? | No | 375 | 88¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$330 | −$38 | |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 343 | 29.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$101 | −$672 | |
| Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 311 | 21.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$67 | −$2.10 | |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 10–15%? | Yes | 245 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | +$0.47 | |
| Will AfD win the 2026 Berlin state election by a margin of 0-2%? | Yes | 221 | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.96 | −$0.34 | |
| Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 200 | 48¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$96 | −$2.00 | |
| Will Nicoletti win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election? | Yes | 195 | 71.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$140 | −$1.53 | |
| Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 187 | 10.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19 | −$0.69 | |
| Will CDU win less than 17% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 185 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | −$1.08 | |
| Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%? | No | 160 | 64¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | +$11 | |
| Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 155 | 13¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$0.70 | |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%? | Under | 149 | 43.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$65 | −$0.70 | |
| Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 148 | 17.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$26 | −$0.23 | |
| Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 140 | 33.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$46 | −$0.15 | |