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Traders/Rank #2,751

OraculumNobius

0xd25…9f3d@OraculumNobius
WhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+WeatherPoliticsCultureOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$13.3kvol $30.0M
PnL 30d+$5,483gains $1,509 · losses $5.18
PnL 7d+$594win rate 7d 99.5%
Win rate99.6%adj 97.7% · 30d 99.6%
Open value$130kcash n/a
Positions15 / 26,265open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$19.2kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale59
Adjusted win rateraw 99.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No64.0k92.7¢96.7¢$61.8k+$2,573+$159
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No39.9k86.8¢94.5¢$37.7k+$3,069+$1,785
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on October 10?No7,50099.9¢100¢$7,496+$6.76$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 9?No5,84299.9¢100¢$5,839+$3.27$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on October 9?No5,50099.9¢100¢$5,497+$2.75$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 9?No3,08299.9¢100¢$3,081+$1.54$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No2,39598.8¢99.4¢$2,380+$15$0
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?No2,00095.2¢96.1¢$1,922+$19$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 9?No1,57699.9¢100¢$1,575+$0.79$0
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?No1,25896.3¢97¢$1,219+$8.19$0
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?No87997.7¢97.7¢$858−$0.36$0
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?No40297.7¢97.6¢$393−$0.57$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 9?No35599.9¢100¢$355+$0.18$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 9?No4899.9¢100¢$48+$0.02$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 9?No2899.9¢100¢$28+$0.01+$0.01

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Delta Air Lines say "Corporate" during earnings call?99.9¢592$591100%60
BUY YesHouthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 7?99.9¢236$236100%60
BUY UnderKashima Antlers vs. Gamba Ōsaka: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners99.9¢650$649100%60
BUY NoWill the announcers say "No Good" during the Buccaneers vs Cowboys game?99.9¢274$274100%60
BUY NoWill the announcers say "One Handed" during the Buccaneers vs Cowboys game?99.9¢274$274100%60
BUY YesWill Trump say "Dictionary" this week?99.9¢557$556100%60
BUY NoWill Jackson Merrill lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in stolen bases?99.9¢21$21100%60
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.4¢5,000$4,970100%60
BUY NoSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 2?99.9¢5,005$5,000100%60
BUY NoSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 2?99.8¢2,002$1,998100%60
BUY NoWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?96.8¢1,696$1,641100%60
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 8?99.9¢3,031$3,028100%60
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 8?99.8¢500$499100%60
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.4¢10.0k$9,940100%60
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 7?99.9¢1,250$1,249100%60
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 7?99.9¢5,000$4,995100%60
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 7?99.9¢5,000$4,995100%60
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7?99.9¢1,622$1,620100%60
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 7?99.9¢500$500100%60
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7?99.9¢500$500100%60