PnL all-time−$51vol $78.2k
PnL 30d−$9.87gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate53.3%adj 51.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$122cash n/a
Positions5 / 21open / all-time
Max drawdown−7.1%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$65below peak −$71Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
19/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 53.3% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable44
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity93
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Noclosed+$12Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Noclosed+$5.42Solana ETF approved in 2025? · Yesclosed+$5.00Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? · Noopen+$2.58Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting? · Noclosed+$1.07
Worst markets
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025? · Yesclosed−$18Will another party win the most seats in the next German election? · Yesclosed−$15Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yesopen−$15Will Jamie Vardy be the top goalscorer in the EPL? · Yesclosed−$13Will Ilie Bolojan win the Romanian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$12
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | No | 117 | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | $117 | +$2.69 | −$0.10 | |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 9,867 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $4.93 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Tatjana Maria be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Yes | 1,491 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.97 | $0 | |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series? | Yes | 213 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.07 | $0 | |
| Will Ons Jabeur be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Yes | 183 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.55 | +$1.20 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s