sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,256

sdiff123

0xd35…4ad6
Whale1y+PoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$32.1kvol $18.9M
PnL 30d+$9,308gains $9,629 · losses $1,344
PnL 7d−$306win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate58.4%adj 58.0% · 30d 87.5%
Open value$23.6kcash n/a
Positions132 / 689open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3.6ylast trade 18d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$37.1kbelow peak −$41.6kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 58.4% · shrunk toward 50%45
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable95
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d37
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?No20.0k97¢96.3¢$19.3k−$149$0
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?No2,12387.5¢89.8¢$1,905+$47+$53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes1,53553¢50¢$767−$46$0
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No65068.9¢90¢$585+$137$0
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?No36975¢98.1¢$362+$85$0
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Yes51044¢67.5¢$344+$120$0
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?No29390¢98.7¢$290+$26$0
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes5035¢65.5¢$33+$15$0
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No4952¢48.5¢$24−$1.72$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No1538¢89¢$13+$7.65$0
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes3786.6¢3.3¢$12−$13−$80
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes4670.6¢0.7¢$3.27+$0.47$0
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No194¢98.3¢$1.08+$0.05+$61
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes236k7.8¢0¢$0−$18.3k$0
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes101k5.2¢0¢$0−$5,287−$2,270
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes56.0k10.5¢0¢$0−$5,876−$128
U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?Yes31.6k69.8¢0¢$0−$22.1k$0
Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes29.7k1¢0¢$0−$286$0
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes24.2k6.6¢0¢$0−$1,590$0
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?Yes20.0k6.8¢0¢$0−$1,358$0
Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?Yes19.0k11¢0¢$0−$2,085$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes13.9k1¢0¢$0−$139$0
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes10.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes10.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes10.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes10.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes10.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes10.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Yes10.0k9¢0¢$0−$900$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 2?Yes10.0k4¢0¢$0−$398$0
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?No9,85916.1¢0¢$0−$1,588−$124
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes8,02931.1¢0¢$0−$2,496−$2,175
Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?Yes7,8398¢0¢$0−$627$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?Yes7,50030.5¢0¢$0−$2,287$0
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes7,0003¢0¢$0−$210$0
Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,7342¢0¢$0−$135+$120
Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,6751¢0¢$0−$67+$60
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?Yes6,63250.9¢0¢$0−$3,377$0
Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,4741.5¢0¢$0−$97+$90
Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,3740.5¢0¢$0−$32+$30
Will Luca Netz win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,2030.4¢0¢$0−$25+$24
Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,1714¢0¢$0−$247+$387
Will CoinMamba win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0346.5¢0¢$0−$392+$389
Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0140.5¢0¢$0−$30+$30
Will Bitlord win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0140.4¢0¢$0−$24+$24
Will Chartfu win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Farokh win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will DeFi Dad win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will 达人 Wenxue600 win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will IcoBeast win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Nachi win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Daddy Fiskantes win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Andy win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Galaxy win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Crypto Vikings win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Zoomer win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Easy win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Jammin 123 win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will IcedKnife win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will BigDickBull69 win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes6,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes5,9640¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes5,9431¢0¢$0−$59+$59
Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes5,9083¢0¢$0−$177+$174
Will Jazz Hampton win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?Yes5,7890.2¢0¢$0−$12+$4.60
Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?Yes5,39824.2¢0¢$0−$1,307−$194
Will DeWayne Davis win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?Yes5,3470.2¢0¢$0−$11+$4.65
Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes5,3097¢0¢$0−$372+$344
Will Trump say "BRICS" or "NATO" 2+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes5,30674¢0¢$0−$3,924$0
Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes5,2703.5¢0¢$0−$184+$184
Will Lynk win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes5,1371.5¢0¢$0−$77+$77
Will Trump say "Biden's war" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes5,00952.8¢0¢$0−$2,643$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No5,00047¢0¢$0−$2,350−$4,274
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No5,00028¢0¢$0−$1,400−$1,741
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,0005.3¢0¢$0−$265−$1,284
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?No5,00035¢0¢$0−$1,750−$34
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes5,00051¢0¢$0−$2,550$0
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?No5,00015¢0¢$0−$750−$19
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes4,00027¢0¢$0−$1,080$0
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?No4,0006¢0¢$0−$240$0
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?Yes3,19033.4¢0¢$0−$1,066$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?97¢20.0k$19.4k58%30Whale
SELL YesWill AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?69.9¢2,194$1,53458%30
BUY NoWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?47¢903$42458%30
BUY YesWill US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?61.2¢210$12958%30
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?81¢6,692$5,42158%30
BUY YesWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?76¢321$24458%30
BUY YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?53¢1,129$59858%30
SELL YesWill AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?5¢40$2.0158%30
SELL YesWill AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?5¢5$0.2558%30
SELL YesWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?3¢5,876$17658%30
SELL YesWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?11¢207$2358%30
BUY YesWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?7¢110$7.7058%30
SELL NoWill Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?93¢1,100$1,02358%30
SELL NoWill Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?98¢1,515$1,48558%30
BUY YesWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?9¢100$9.0058%30
BUY YesWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?25.3¢2,314$58558%30
BUY NoWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?74¢900$66658%30
BUY YesWill AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?22.4¢1,571$35258%30
BUY YesWill AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?24.2¢2,194$53258%30
BUY NoWill AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes?76¢150$11458%30