PnL all-time+$626kvol $18.6M
PnL 30d+$7,168gains $93 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$7,166win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate55.6%adj 55.4% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,743cash n/a
Positions12 / 1,660open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.0%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 3d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$626kbelow peak −$3,152Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
73/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale83
Adjusted win rateraw 55.6% · shrunk toward 50%39
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 3,552 | 40¢ | 42.2¢ | $1,497 | +$76 | $0 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 256 | 51.5¢ | 96¢ | $246 | +$114 | $0 | |
| Will Trump cut Medicaid before July? | Yes | 5,614 | 26.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,485 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30? | Yes | 2,000 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$240 | $0 | |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June? | Yes | 729 | 29.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$216 | +$29 | |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? | No | 552 | 60.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$332 | +$72 | |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 500 | 59¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$295 | −$3.63 | |
| Texans vs. Chiefs | Chiefs | 500 | 64¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$320 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | Yes | 458 | 48.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$223 | +$243 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025? | No | 310 | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$158 | $0 | |
| Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? | Yes | 268 | 38.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$104 | −$2.54 | |
| Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July? | Yes | 175 | 32¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$56 | $0 |
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