sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #360

operationcastle

0xd3a…fd55
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$545kvol $16.2M
PnL 30d+$157gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$53win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate47.2%adj 47.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$19.2kcash n/a
Positions13 / 1,031open / all-time
Max drawdown−15.0%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 43d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$551kbelow peak −$39.2kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale82
Adjusted win rateraw 47.2% · shrunk toward 50%18
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 13

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No10,00065¢63.5¢$6,350−$150$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No3,67697.1¢98.8¢$3,631+$61$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes4,31022¢62.5¢$2,694+$1,746$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No2,61745¢62.5¢$1,636+$458$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes29.4k3.5¢4.6¢$1,350+$323+$545
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes10.6k26.4¢12.5¢$1,327−$1,480$0
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No1,06098.3¢99.9¢$1,059+$16$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes11.0k5.7¢7.5¢$816+$192+$495
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No1,67353.8¢18.5¢$310−$590$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes4317¢57.8¢$25+$17$0
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes3,61355.5¢0.1¢$3.61−$2,001−$622
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes20.0k10¢0¢$0−$2,000$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes10.0k13¢0¢$0−$1,300$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?66.1¢245$16247%56
BUY YesWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?88.8¢5,491$4,87647%56
BUY NoWill Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?14¢23.8k$3,32747%56
BUY YesWill Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?14¢25.1k$3,51847%56
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?53.8¢1,673$90047%56
BUY YesWill annual inflation be 3.3% in July?28.1¢3,752$1,05447%56
BUY YesWill annual inflation be 3.3% in July?29¢650$18947%56
BUY NoWill Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?70¢4,640$3,24847%56
BUY NoWill Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?80¢5,952$4,76247%56
BUY NoWill Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?72¢11$7.5847%56
BUY NoWill Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?58¢367$21347%56
BUY NoWill Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?58¢367$21347%56
BUY NoWill Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?59¢1,233$72747%56
BUY NoWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?83.5¢100$8447%56
SELL YesWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?44¢994$43747%56
SELL YesWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?55¢1,646$90547%56
SELL NoWill Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?99.8¢11.3k$11.3k47%56Whale
BUY NoWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?33¢20$6.6047%56
BUY NoWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?27¢423$11447%56
BUY YesWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?1.2¢46$0.5647%56