sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #1,689

sabsabinxz

0xd3e…6603
WhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$82.2kvol $1.06M
PnL 30d+$4,263gains $8,221 · losses $385
PnL 7d−$765win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate69.1%adj 65.8% · 30d 81.8%
Open value$116kcash n/a
Positions43 / 137open / all-time
Max drawdown−35.2%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$87.2kbelow peak −$91Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

66/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 69.1% · shrunk toward 50%65
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity65

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 43

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No23.0k80.2¢81.5¢$18.7k+$289$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No15.6k84.7¢94.5¢$14.7k+$1,531$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No13.0k91.8¢98.2¢$12.7k+$831$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No13.4k79¢84.5¢$11.3k+$739$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No12.2k85.3¢90.5¢$11.0k+$633$0
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes10.0k86.6¢88.5¢$8,850+$194+$11
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes12.2k63.7¢62.5¢$7,625−$152$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No6,72690.5¢85.5¢$5,751−$336$0
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No6,09687.5¢89.5¢$5,456+$124$0
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No4,76476.6¢84.5¢$4,026+$374$0
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?No3,83078.2¢89.5¢$3,428+$432$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No3,71890.2¢92¢$3,420+$67$0
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?No1,90085.4¢86.5¢$1,643+$21$0
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No1,75780.6¢88.5¢$1,555+$139$0
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No1,15693.6¢94.8¢$1,096+$14$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No1,26171.9¢73.5¢$927+$21$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No79895.5¢97.2¢$775+$13$0
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?No75088¢91¢$683+$23$0
Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?No48592¢97.3¢$472+$25$0
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes51281¢79.5¢$407−$7.67$0
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Yes44751.9¢61.2¢$273+$42$0
Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027?No21191.1¢97.3¢$205+$13$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes19152.4¢71.3¢$136+$36$0
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?No13595.2¢96.6¢$130+$1.93$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?Yes1,66224.3¢6¢$100−$303$0
UBS announces move out of Switzerland by June 30, 2027?No12977¢73.5¢$95−$4.51$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?Yes34258.4¢26.5¢$91−$109$0
Will Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027?No8089.7¢95.1¢$76+$4.30$0
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81No7590¢95¢$71+$3.75$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?Yes1,42326¢4.2¢$60−$311+$38
UBS announces move out of Switzerland by December 31?No5578¢85¢$47+$3.84$0
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Yes3928.6¢9¢$35+$1.60$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?Yes50016¢3.5¢$18−$62$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?Yes12931¢5.3¢$6.84−$33$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?Yes20511.5¢2.7¢$5.42−$18$0
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?Yes3318¢13.5¢$4.44−$1.48$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No9,00064.1¢0¢$0−$5,769$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No4,50072.7¢0¢$0−$3,269$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No1,00027.1¢0¢$0−$271+$947
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?Yes74186.1¢0¢$0−$638−$1.43
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026?No70176.1¢0¢$0−$533$0
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?Yes40431.3¢0¢$0−$127$0
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?No10040¢0¢$0−$40$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?81¢512$41469%66
BUY NoUBS announces move out of Switzerland by June 30, 2027?77¢129$9969%66
BUY NoUBS announces move out of Switzerland by December 31?78¢55$4369%66
BUY Yes0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?18¢33$5.9269%66
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House65¢7,100$4,61569%66
BUY NoUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?91¢570$51969%66
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?81¢10.0k$8,10069%66
BUY NoUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?91¢1,633$1,48669%66
BUY YesWill the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?8.6¢392$3469%66
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House62¢5,100$3,16269%66
BUY YesWill 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?31.3¢404$12769%66
BUY NoWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?74¢345$25569%66
BUY NoWill there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?64.4¢9$5.9269%66
BUY YesWill there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?55.5¢46$2569%66
SELL NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?98.3¢9,295$9,13769%66
BUY NoWill 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?83.5¢155$12969%66
BUY NoWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?75¢11$8.3669%66
BUY YesWill there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?45.6¢559$25569%66
BUY NoWill there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?56.2¢108$6169%66
SELL NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?99.2¢9,295$9,21869%66