PnL all-time+$2.27vol $22.5k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate30.8%adj 42.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$340cash n/a
Positions6 / 21open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.1%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$2.27below peak −$21Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
19/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale5
Adjusted win rateraw 30.8% · shrunk toward 50%6
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable44
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? · Noclosed+$19No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$12Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10? · Noclosed+$3.98Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? · Downclosed+$1.32Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? · Noopen+$0.68
Worst markets
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yesopen−$9.12Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$5.06Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? · Yesopen−$4.80Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Noclosed−$2.96Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? · Yesopen−$2.50
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 340 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $340 | +$0.68 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 511 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.80 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | Yes | 500 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 488 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.06 | $0 | |
| Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 385 | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.12 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025? | Yes | 261 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.56 | $0 |
Recent trades
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