sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,635

Annihilation

0xd41…d9e2
WR 60+PoliticsCultureSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$5,732vol $625k
PnL 30d+$1,148gains $3,533 · losses $2,733
PnL 7d−$257win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate62.0%adj 61.5% · 30d 71.2%
Open value$6,832cash n/a
Positions28 / 528open / all-time
Max drawdown−42.3%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$6,944below peak −$488Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale54
Adjusted win rateraw 62.0% · shrunk toward 50%54
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d91
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity58

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 28

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?No2,99630.4¢32.5¢$974+$63$0
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?No1,04868.2¢74.2¢$777+$62$0
Will Don Toliver be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Yes73669.7¢86.5¢$636+$123$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes1,40252¢37.5¢$526−$203−$39
Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Yes51072.9¢83.5¢$426+$54+$1.34
Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes48455.7¢87¢$421+$151−$1.18
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?No42075¢95.5¢$401+$86+$122
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?Yes41792.7¢90.8¢$378−$7.99$0
Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?No44563.2¢65¢$290+$7.95−$0.34
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No66036.6¢41.5¢$274+$32+$376
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes64651.8¢41.5¢$268−$67$0
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes36760¢64¢$235+$15$0
Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No27265.5¢70.5¢$192+$14+$0.01
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?Yes17292.6¢91.5¢$158−$1.87$0
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?No20674¢67.5¢$139−$13$0
Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes83715¢16.5¢$138+$12$0
Will The Weeknd be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Yes23342.4¢55.5¢$129+$31+$7.22
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?Yes10593¢94¢$99+$1.05$0
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?No33941.7¢28.5¢$97−$45$0
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes24842.7¢37.7¢$94−$12+$74
Will Shang-Chi die in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes16015.5¢48.5¢$78+$53+$5.51
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?Yes7564.6¢59.5¢$45−$3.81+$1.66
Will Silent Hill: Townfall win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes4009.7¢8¢$32−$6.93+$18
Will "Whalefall" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No4925¢25¢$12$0+$2.87
Will Mixtape win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes2201.1¢4.5¢$9.77+$7.36$0
Will Meccha Chameleon win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes1781.5¢1.9¢$3.29+$0.62$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No641¢36.5¢$2.19−$0.27$0
Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 15?Yes3422¢0.7¢$0.22−$7.16−$16

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?16¢14$2.3062%63
BUY YesWill Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?16¢14$2.3062%63
BUY YesWill Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?16¢25$4.0462%63
BUY YesWill Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?15¢660$9962%63
SELL NoWill "Whalefall" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?29¢141$4162%63
BUY NoWill Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?33.7¢1,340$45162%63
BUY NoAndrew Garfield as Spider-Man?74¢206$15262%63
SELL NoWill "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?67.8¢124$8462%63
SELL NoRussia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?93¢1,140$1,06162%63
SELL NoRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?94¢393$37062%63
SELL YesTrump declassifies new UFO files by October 15?9.7¢116$1162%63
BUY NoRussia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?74.8¢467$34962%63
BUY NoRussia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?69.7¢673$46962%63
SELL YesWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?63¢800$50462%63
BUY NoWill "Whalefall" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?25¢190$4762%63
SELL NoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?75¢29$2262%63
BUY YesWill Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?60¢367$22062%63
SELL YesWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?40¢270$10862%63
BUY NoWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?36¢268$9662%63
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?66¢923$60962%63