| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | No | 9,909 | 86.5¢ | 96.4¢ | $9,552 | +$984 | +$311 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10.1k | 36.3¢ | 83.5¢ | $8,433 | +$4,766 | $0 | |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | No | 3,550 | 64¢ | 91.5¢ | $3,248 | +$976 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.6k | 26.6¢ | 20.5¢ | $2,998 | −$895 | +$432 | |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? | No | 2,508 | 89.9¢ | 97.1¢ | $2,434 | +$178 | $0 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 13.1k | 20.7¢ | 18.5¢ | $2,433 | −$292 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 8,769 | 23.8¢ | 25.5¢ | $2,236 | +$144 | +$563 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 2,395 | 25.7¢ | 88.5¢ | $2,119 | +$1,504 | +$207 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 2,500 | 70¢ | 82.5¢ | $2,063 | +$312 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? | No | 4,941 | 25.9¢ | 41¢ | $2,026 | +$746 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | No | 2,764 | 56.2¢ | 72.5¢ | $2,004 | +$449 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.9k | 17.8¢ | 17.8¢ | $1,947 | +$11 | +$675 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,588 | 47.1¢ | 52.2¢ | $1,873 | +$182 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 4,712 | 30.7¢ | 37.5¢ | $1,767 | +$322 | +$4.66 | |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 1,917 | 86¢ | 92¢ | $1,764 | +$115 | $0 | |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 2,293 | 70.6¢ | 73.5¢ | $1,685 | +$66 | +$58 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.6k | 31.7¢ | 14.5¢ | $1,537 | −$1,819 | +$1,363 | |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? | Yes | 5,783 | 24.8¢ | 26.5¢ | $1,532 | +$97 | $0 | |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | Yes | 7,118 | 20.5¢ | 21¢ | $1,495 | +$38 | +$380 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | No | 3,586 | 24.5¢ | 38¢ | $1,363 | +$484 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 2,101 | 55.9¢ | 64.5¢ | $1,355 | +$181 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 2,263 | 19.5¢ | 58¢ | $1,311 | +$870 | +$701 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3,547 | 55¢ | 36.5¢ | $1,295 | −$657 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,903 | 36.2¢ | 42.5¢ | $1,234 | +$183 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 1,445 | 84¢ | 82.5¢ | $1,192 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 1,350 | 64.2¢ | 87.6¢ | $1,183 | +$315 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,205 | 89.3¢ | 97.6¢ | $1,176 | +$99 | −$20 | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | Yes | 11.9k | 5¢ | 9.5¢ | $1,133 | +$537 | +$371 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 1,200 | 34¢ | 92.5¢ | $1,110 | +$702 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 5,355 | 33.9¢ | 19.5¢ | $1,044 | −$773 | $0 | |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 1,094 | 63.7¢ | 95¢ | $1,039 | +$343 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | No | 1,254 | 73.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $922 | +$0.06 | −$366 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 18.4k | 16.4¢ | 4.9¢ | $902 | −$2,122 | +$3,900 | |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | No | 1,017 | 42.7¢ | 88.5¢ | $900 | +$466 | $0 | |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | No | 887 | 97.1¢ | 98.3¢ | $872 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3,692 | 26.8¢ | 22.5¢ | $831 | −$157 | $0 | |
| Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? | No | 847 | 92.2¢ | 97.4¢ | $824 | +$44 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 888 | 59¢ | 89.5¢ | $795 | +$271 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 2,222 | 56¢ | 35.5¢ | $789 | −$456 | $0 | |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | No | 781 | 92¢ | 100¢ | $781 | +$62 | +$26 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 1,500 | 46.7¢ | 50.5¢ | $757 | +$57 | +$23 | |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 750 | 9.9¢ | 100¢ | $750 | +$676 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 7,692 | 12¢ | 9.5¢ | $731 | −$192 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 900 | 53.7¢ | 78¢ | $702 | +$219 | $0 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | No | 700 | 73¢ | 100¢ | $700 | +$189 | $0 | |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes | 15.8k | 18¢ | 4.4¢ | $697 | −$2,148 | +$10 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,140 | 54.5¢ | 60.5¢ | $690 | +$69 | $0 | |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 900 | 59.3¢ | 75.5¢ | $679 | +$145 | $0 | |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,591 | 47.4¢ | 42.5¢ | $676 | −$78 | $0 | |
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? | No | 700 | 57¢ | 95.5¢ | $669 | +$270 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 2,010 | 34.5¢ | 32.5¢ | $653 | −$39 | +$363 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 63.6¢ | 64.5¢ | $645 | +$9.00 | $0 | |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 17.3k | 18.4¢ | 3.7¢ | $631 | −$2,559 | −$36 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 5,488 | 10.9¢ | 11.5¢ | $631 | +$31 | +$1,197 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 777 | 73¢ | 80.5¢ | $625 | +$58 | $0 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026? | No | 600 | 63¢ | 100¢ | $600 | +$222 | $0 | |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 600 | 67¢ | 98.6¢ | $591 | +$189 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 1,639 | 32.7¢ | 35.5¢ | $582 | +$45 | $0 | |
| Graham Platner divorce by October 31? | No | 600 | 93¢ | 95.3¢ | $572 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | No | 882 | 60¢ | 60.5¢ | $534 | +$4.41 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 571 | 62¢ | 92.5¢ | $529 | +$174 | $0 | |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 548 | 91¢ | 96.4¢ | $528 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 888 | 52¢ | 59¢ | $524 | +$62 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | No | 670 | 73¢ | 77.5¢ | $519 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | No | 576 | 47.7¢ | 89.5¢ | $516 | +$241 | +$881 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6,387 | 8.3¢ | 8.1¢ | $514 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes | 5,306 | 13.6¢ | 9.5¢ | $504 | −$215 | $0 | |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | No | 500 | 93¢ | 97.2¢ | $486 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | No | 8,066 | 14.9¢ | 6¢ | $484 | −$717 | $0 | |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | No | 500 | 88¢ | 95.6¢ | $478 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | Yes | 844 | 18.4¢ | 54¢ | $456 | +$300 | $0 | |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | No | 800 | 61¢ | 56.5¢ | $452 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 1,546 | 29.4¢ | 28.7¢ | $444 | −$11 | +$578 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 2,531 | 17.1¢ | 17.5¢ | $443 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 14.1k | 4.4¢ | 2.9¢ | $402 | −$219 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 1 2026? | No | 400 | 65¢ | 100¢ | $400 | +$140 | $0 | |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 16.7k | 1.1¢ | 2.4¢ | $400 | +$222 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 900 | 36¢ | 42.5¢ | $382 | +$58 | $0 | |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 396 | 87¢ | 93.1¢ | $369 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 8,500 | 22.6¢ | 4.1¢ | $344 | −$1,578 | +$8,949 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 13.9k | 8.7¢ | 2.5¢ | $340 | −$864 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? | Yes | 4,626 | 7.6¢ | 7¢ | $324 | −$27 | +$9.80 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | No | 480 | 54¢ | 67.5¢ | $324 | +$65 | $0 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 819 | 47¢ | 39.5¢ | $324 | −$61 | $0 | |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? | No | 318 | 90¢ | 98.1¢ | $312 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 442 | 47¢ | 64.5¢ | $285 | +$77 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,750 | 23.1¢ | 15.2¢ | $265 | −$139 | +$79 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes | 446 | 49¢ | 56¢ | $250 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 40.7k | 3.3¢ | 0.6¢ | $244 | −$1,093 | +$0.40 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 291 | 55¢ | 81.5¢ | $237 | +$77 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 1,274 | 18.7¢ | 17.5¢ | $223 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 49.3k | 3.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $222 | −$1,440 | −$8.60 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? | No | 400 | 53¢ | 53.5¢ | $214 | +$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 882 | 8.5¢ | 24.1¢ | $212 | +$137 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? | Yes | 816 | 24¢ | 25.5¢ | $208 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31? | No | 210 | 85¢ | 98¢ | $206 | +$27 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 400 | 56.7¢ | 47.8¢ | $191 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 300 | 64¢ | 62.5¢ | $188 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? | No | 253 | 65.4¢ | 73.5¢ | $186 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 268 | 62¢ | 62.5¢ | $167 | +$1.34 | $0 | |