Traders/Rank #6,054

AviJencmen

0xd43…5e0f

Politics

PnL all-time+$2,134vol $16.9k

PnL 30d−$62gains $0 · losses $0

PnL 7d−$160win rate 7d 0.0%

Win rate100.0%adj 56.5% · 30d 0.0%

Open value$2,350cash n/a

Positions4 / 7open / all-time

Max drawdown−27.9%of equity peak

Account age7molast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,056below peak −$577Oct 13

31/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48

Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%41

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable28

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d89

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity72

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	2,221	90¢	84.5¢	$1,877	−$122	$0	13d 23h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	1,503	29¢	31.5¢	$474	+$38	$0	13d 23h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	4,545	11¢	0¢	$0	−$500	$0	ended
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	Yes	4,502	16.1¢	0¢	$0	−$724	$0	ended

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
3d ago	BUY No	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	90¢	2,221	$1,999	100%	31
21d ago	BUY Yes	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	29¢	1,503	$436	100%	31
4mo ago	BUY Yes	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	11¢	4,545	$500	100%	31
6mo ago	BUY Yes	US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	3.5¢	2,836	$100	100%	31
7mo ago	BUY Yes	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	16.1¢	4,502	$724	100%	31
7mo ago	BUY Yes	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	64.6¢	861	$556	100%	31
7mo ago	BUY Yes	US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	24¢	417	$100	100%	31