sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #748

KrackenSruster

0xd44…67e2
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$267kvol $7.99M
PnL 30d+$26.1kgains $8,948 · losses $12.6k
PnL 7d+$6,991win rate 7d 83.3%
Win rate72.6%adj 71.7% · 30d 62.2%
Open value$316kcash n/a
Positions37 / 872open / all-time
Max drawdown−7.4%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$335kbelow peak −$1,606Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

82/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale78
Adjusted win rateraw 72.6% · shrunk toward 50%79
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable98
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity93

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 37

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No55.1k54.5¢83.5¢$46.0k+$16.0k+$331
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No37.7k76.6¢95.6¢$36.0k+$7,159$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No37.1k72.8¢95.5¢$35.4k+$8,419+$158
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No35.0k74.6¢90.5¢$31.7k+$5,561+$21
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No19.3k91.3¢97.9¢$18.9k+$1,265+$422
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No16.1k79.5¢97.6¢$15.7k+$2,917+$1,302
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes15.2k85.7¢94.5¢$14.4k+$1,346+$354
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No14.2k63.6¢92¢$13.1k+$4,034+$3,023
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?No17.6k47.3¢73¢$12.8k+$4,516+$614
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No11.1k89.6¢97.8¢$10.9k+$904+$22
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No10.9k60.1¢95.5¢$10.4k+$3,838+$92
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?No10.9k45¢79.5¢$8,693+$3,767+$8.18
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No11.1k67.7¢76.5¢$8,516+$980$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No8,00078.1¢84.5¢$6,760+$513+$19.0k
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?No5,93178.5¢97¢$5,750+$1,097$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No5,79555¢85.5¢$4,955+$1,768+$714
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?No5,39680.5¢82¢$4,425+$83$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No4,17664¢96¢$4,007+$1,335+$1,375
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?No6,37760¢60.5¢$3,858+$31$0
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?No3,66087.4¢94.9¢$3,472+$274$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?No3,60879.3¢91¢$3,283+$423+$0.98
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?No2,24466.8¢90.5¢$2,031+$531+$138
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No2,42367.8¢79¢$1,914+$271+$7.64
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?No1,99196¢95.6¢$1,904−$7.08+$7.08
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?No2,50537.7¢73¢$1,829+$884+$164
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No2,96334.1¢57.5¢$1,704+$694$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?No2,00067.5¢74.5¢$1,490+$140$0
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No7,50748.5¢18.5¢$1,389−$2,252+$30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No1,96761.8¢67.5¢$1,328+$113+$10
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?No95249.7¢80.5¢$767+$294+$199
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No1,00062¢65.5¢$655+$35+$768
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No90716.5¢63.5¢$576+$426+$126
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No88337.9¢51.6¢$455+$121−$128
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?No37670.5¢89.5¢$336+$71+$114
Saudi troops enter Sanaa by December 31, 2026?No26182¢93.5¢$244+$30$0
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?No29654.5¢76.5¢$226+$65$0
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?No183.3¢95¢$1.25+$0.15$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?89.3¢915$81773%82Sharp
BUY NoSaudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?54.5¢296$16173%82Sharp
BUY NoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?60.1¢6,192$3,72273%82Sharp
BUY NoSaudi troops enter Sanaa by December 31, 2026?82¢224$18473%82Sharp
SELL NoWill Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?49¢30$1573%82Sharp
SELL NoWill Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?73.1¢980$71673%82Sharp
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?60¢11$6.5973%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?89.4¢1,852$1,65673%82Sharp
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?39¢1,000$39073%82Sharp
BUY NoNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?37.3¢665$24873%82Sharp
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?62¢1,500$93073%82Sharp
SELL NoIsrael military action against Yemen by September 30?98.9¢14$1373%82Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?67¢1,416$94873%82Sharp
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?39.3¢2,648$1,03973%82Sharp
SELL NoNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?94.2¢0$0.1373%82Sharp
SELL NoNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?94.7¢244$23173%82Sharp
SELL NoNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?71¢1,600$1,13673%82Sharp
BUY NoNATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?85.8¢141$12173%82Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?56¢205$11573%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?37.7¢2,655$1,00073%82Sharp