sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,126

Saltyballs

0xd46…5dab
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$178kvol $9.80M
PnL 30d+$695gains $4,141 · losses $3,005
PnL 7d−$552win rate 7d 46.2%
Win rate49.7%adj 49.7% · 30d 46.4%
Open value$40.9kcash n/a
Positions45 / 829open / all-time
Max drawdown−41.9%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$177kbelow peak −$33.3kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale75
Adjusted win rateraw 49.7% · shrunk toward 50%24
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable97
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity58

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · Yesclosed+$27.1kUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · Yesclosed+$22.0kUS strikes Iran by March 4, 2026? · Yesclosed+$11.3kAnother Israel strike on Yemen in July? · Yesclosed+$7,306Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%? · Yesclosed+$7,288

Worst markets

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? · Yesclosed−$20.2kIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before July? · Yesclosed−$16.8kIsrael strikes Yemen by Friday? · Yesclosed−$13.7kIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August? · Yesclosed−$12.5kIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 17? · Noclosed−$8,941

Open positions · 45

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No24.5k90.1¢88.5¢$21.7k−$393$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No17.7k80.2¢79.5¢$14.0k−$132−$7.04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No2,30269¢64¢$1,474−$114$0
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes6,0698.8¢13¢$786+$252+$71
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes6,4938.9¢8.5¢$552−$23$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes1,42936¢36.5¢$522+$6.54$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No1,97532¢22.5¢$444−$187+$15
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes48570.4¢80.5¢$390+$49+$25
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No99936¢36.5¢$364+$4.99$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo40537¢37.5¢$152+$2.03$0
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes1,07114¢11.5¢$123−$27$0
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,4321.7¢1.4¢$60−$17$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes17928¢29.5¢$53+$2.68$0
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes27011.1¢15.9¢$43+$13$0
Will the Toronto Raptors be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes4388¢8.5¢$37+$2.19$0
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes6440¢5.4¢$35+$35$0
Will Zuby Ejiofor win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Yes9700.3¢3.2¢$31+$28$0
Will Iowa have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes13629.4¢20.5¢$28−$12$0
Will Texas make College Football Playoff Semifinals?No3078¢59¢$18−$5.70−$9.52
Will Iowa Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?Yes13028.5¢10¢$13−$24$0
Will Texas Tech Red Raiders win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes1,6161.8¢0.5¢$7.27−$22$0
Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Yes4311.4¢1.3¢$5.39−$0.81$0
Will Aday Mara win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Yes731.8¢3.2¢$2.34+$1.02$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes119k0.4¢0¢$0−$475+$188
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes9,3750.8¢0¢$0−$75$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes4,1903.6¢0¢$0−$150$0
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?No3,17410.7¢0¢$0−$340$0
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes2,4991.6¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes9554.2¢0¢$0−$40+$88
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes68513.4¢0¢$0−$92$0
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes6847.3¢0¢$0−$50$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes64139¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No5569¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Yes46353.9¢0¢$0−$250+$71
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?Yes40313.9¢0¢$0−$56$0
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes35022.9¢0¢$0−$80$0
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes33914.7¢0¢$0−$50−$1.28
Florida A&M vs. Miami (FL): O/U 58.5Under33330¢0¢$0−$100−$3.50
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes23831.5¢0¢$0−$75−$2.57
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes2008.9¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1690.8¢0¢$0−$1.35−$0.04
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina13038.5¢0¢$0−$50−$1.54
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes10647.3¢0¢$0−$50−$6.83
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes7214.6¢0¢$0−$11+$461
Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2118.6¢0¢$0−$3.87−$0.09

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?36¢999$35950%61
SELL YesWill Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?77¢485$37350%61
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?89¢2,553$2,27250%61
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?80¢2,839$2,27150%61
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?82¢617$50650%61
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?91¢4,835$4,40050%61
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House9¢5,556$50050%61
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?82¢6,098$5,00050%61
SELL YesWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?35¢29.8k$10.4k50%61Whale
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?32¢1,925$61650%61
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?7.4¢1,029$7650%61
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?11¢1,476$16250%61
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?31¢50$1650%61
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?12¢608$7350%61
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?31¢500$15550%61
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?91.4¢7,204$6,58550%61
SELL YesWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?8¢3,325$26650%61
SELL YesWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?36¢10.3k$3,71850%61
SELL YesWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?44.5¢5,598$2,49150%61
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?35¢900$31550%61