PnL all-time+$325kvol $14.0M
PnL 30d+$53gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$44win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate15.8%adj 17.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$156cash n/a
Positions5 / 856open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.2%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$325kbelow peak −$49.5kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
48/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale79
Adjusted win rateraw 15.8% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable98
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? · Yesclosed−$8,804Iran closes its airspace by May 8? · Yesclosed−$5,000Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$4,944US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Yesclosed−$4,499Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29? · Yesclosed−$4,277
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 5,556 | 9¢ | 2.8¢ | $156 | −$344 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 55.6k | 8.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,944 | $0 | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.7k | 12.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,111 | $0 | |
| Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | Yes | 10.0k | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$800 | $0 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | Yes | 5,556 | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$300 | $0 |
Recent trades
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