PnL all-time−$1,614vol $40.3k
PnL 30d−$71gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$107win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate65.5%adj 62.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,549cash n/a
Positions10 / 95open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 32d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,537below peak −$2,241Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 65.5% · shrunk toward 50%56
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$532José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31? · Noclosed+$253Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1? · Noclosed+$195Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? · Noclosed+$183US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Noclosed+$165
Worst markets
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · Noclosed−$936US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Noclosed−$848U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? · Noclosed−$282Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28? · Noclosed−$266Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026? · Noclosed−$160
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | No | 655 | 92¢ | 91¢ | $596 | −$6.52 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 400 | 82.5¢ | 96.1¢ | $384 | +$54 | $0 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 311 | 90.9¢ | 98.5¢ | $306 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 389 | 38.6¢ | 34.2¢ | $133 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? | No | 60 | 56.3¢ | 89.5¢ | $54 | +$20 | $0 | |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 50 | 90¢ | 97.5¢ | $49 | +$3.73 | $0 | |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 28 | 73¢ | 77.5¢ | $22 | +$1.26 | $0 | |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | No | 4 | 75¢ | 94.9¢ | $3.80 | +$0.80 | $0 | |
| Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? | Yes | 44 | 11¢ | 2.5¢ | $1.11 | −$3.77 | $0 | |
| Spain snap election called in 2026? | No | 200 | 74¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$148 | $0 |
Recent trades
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