sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,137

inrock30

0xd57…d5e3
Whale1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$208kvol $5.65M
PnL 30d−$989gains $5,441 · losses $549
PnL 7d−$1,700win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate53.8%adj 53.1% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$146kcash n/a
Positions16 / 109open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 56m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$214kbelow peak −$277kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 53.8% · shrunk toward 50%33
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 16

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No50.0k82.4¢97.2¢$48.6k+$7,375−$923
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes35.3k69¢71.5¢$25.2k+$881$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes35.2k69.8¢62.5¢$22.0k−$2,581$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes15.0k91¢90.5¢$13.6k−$75$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes36.2k29.4¢36.5¢$13.2k+$2,585$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No17.8k49.5¢56.3¢$10.0k+$1,210$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes23.6k27.8¢22¢$5,202−$1,376$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes79.5k26.2¢5.5¢$4,373−$16.5k$0
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes3,83687¢90¢$3,452+$115$0
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes11.9k6.4¢5.5¢$652−$103$0
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes3,1244.8¢2.1¢$64−$85$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes18022¢15.5¢$28−$12−$32.9k
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes33.9k74.3¢0¢$0−$25.1k−$7,972
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes5,83735.8¢0¢$0−$2,089−$47.9k
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes3,44142.1¢0¢$0−$1,450$0
Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes1,52240¢0¢$0−$609$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?62¢3,500$2,17054%27
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?91¢15.0k$13.7k54%27Whale
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?87¢1,985$1,72754%27
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?87¢1,852$1,61154%27
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?67¢8,304$5,56354%27
SELL NoWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?87¢3,849$3,34954%27
SELL NoWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?86¢2,044$1,75854%27
SELL NoWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?87¢13.0k$11.3k54%27Whale
SELL NoWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?90¢667$60054%27
SELL NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?30¢7,257$2,17754%27
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?69¢35.3k$24.3k54%27Whale
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?70.7¢26.9k$19.0k54%27Whale
BUY NoWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?49.5¢16.6k$8,22554%27
BUY YesWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?28¢28.0k$7,84454%27
BUY YesWill Russia invade another country in 2026?7¢4,375$30654%27
BUY YesNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?29¢7,906$2,29354%27
SELL NoWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?91¢3,300$3,00354%27
BUY YesNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?28¢3,555$99554%27
BUY YesNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?27¢6,469$1,74754%27
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?38¢4,128$1,56954%27