PnL all-time−$1,052vol $4.04M
PnL 30d−$134gains $25.5k · losses $25.6k
PnL 7d−$1,313win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate78.3%adj 71.9% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$12.6kcash n/a
Positions10 / 85open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 20d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$110below peak −$2,827Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
33/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 78.3% · shrunk toward 50%80
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d31
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? · Noclosed+$21.6kBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · Noclosed+$18.3kIran leadership change by July 31? · Yesclosed+$18.1kBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yesclosed+$15.0kWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yesclosed+$13.7k
Worst markets
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? · Yesclosed−$22.1kBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · Yesclosed−$18.2kIran leadership change by July 31? · Noclosed−$18.1kBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Noclosed−$15.0kWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Noclosed−$13.7k
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 21.6k | 54.2¢ | 56.5¢ | $12.2k | +$497 | $0 | |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | 615 | 33.3¢ | 31¢ | $191 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 130 | 15¢ | 72.5¢ | $95 | +$75 | $0 | |
| Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 75 | 61¢ | 91.5¢ | $69 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 47 | 22¢ | 81.5¢ | $38 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Over $80M committed to the Credible public sale? | Yes | 1,205 | 4.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$56 | −$3.75 | |
| Over $60M committed to the Credible public sale? | Yes | 456 | 14.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$65 | −$3.89 | |
| Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale? | Yes | 333 | 26.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$89 | −$4.54 | |
| Over $90M committed to the Credible public sale? | Yes | 270 | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.67 | |
| Over $70M committed to the Credible public sale? | Yes | 100 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | −$0.63 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s