PnL all-time+$332kvol $42.8M
PnL 30d−$2,163gains $3,179 · losses $262
PnL 7d−$3,606win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate85.2%adj 83.9% · 30d 86.4%
Open value$96.5kcash n/a
Positions8 / 860open / all-time
Max drawdown−4.7%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 3h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$316kbelow peak −$12.3kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
88/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale79
Adjusted win rateraw 85.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable98
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Noopen+$34.3kWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? · Yesclosed+$18.1kWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$16.9kWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Noclosed+$16.7kKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Noclosed+$13.2k
Worst markets
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$21.4kUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$17.4kWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? · Noclosed−$16.1kUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? · Yesclosed−$5,983Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30? · Yesclosed−$4,731
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 81.5k | 70.2¢ | 48.7¢ | $39.7k | −$17.5k | +$106 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 29.0k | 95¢ | 95.5¢ | $27.7k | +$145 | +$34.1k | |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | No | 14.7k | 84.1¢ | 91¢ | $13.3k | +$1,019 | +$1,336 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 18.4k | 69.4¢ | 69¢ | $12.7k | −$68 | $0 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,804 | 87.5¢ | 83.5¢ | $2,341 | −$111 | $0 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,493 | 63.1¢ | 45.5¢ | $679 | −$262 | −$9.29 | |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026? | No | 5 | 74¢ | 63¢ | $3.15 | −$0.55 | $0 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 16 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.40 | +$72 |
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