PnL all-time−$1,852vol $51.5k
PnL 30d+$58gains $92 · losses $234
PnL 7d+$288win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate75.9%adj 65.3% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$2,121cash n/a
Positions6 / 35open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 16h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,556below peak −$2,757Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 75.9% · shrunk toward 50%63
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable51
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22? · Yesclosed+$585Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026? · Yesclosed+$473Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025? · Yesclosed+$353Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15? · Noclosed+$231Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · Yesopen+$161
Worst markets
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,055Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,002Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15? · Yesopen−$700Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$570Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? · Noclosed−$234
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | Yes | 1,702 | 56¢ | 65.5¢ | $1,115 | +$161 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 1,486 | 55.3¢ | 55.5¢ | $825 | +$2.61 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | Yes | 360 | 46.8¢ | 34.5¢ | $124 | −$44 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | Yes | 110 | 50.1¢ | 51.5¢ | $57 | +$1.55 | $0 | |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15? | Yes | 2,885 | 24.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$700 | $0 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? | Yes | 247 | 94¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$232 | −$0.56 |
Recent trades
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