PnL all-time−$3,941vol $307k
PnL 30d−$301gains $464 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate67.0%adj 64.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$293cash n/a
Positions9 / 103open / all-time
Max drawdown−53.4%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$3,845below peak −$1,953Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 67.0% · shrunk toward 50%60
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity47
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$610Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? · Noclosed+$493Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed+$412Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? · Noclosed+$281Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Noclosed+$213
Worst markets
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 1,500 | 20¢ | 19.5¢ | $293 | −$7.50 | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 4,264 | 6.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$270 | −$706 | |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 2,308 | 13¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$300 | −$13 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 1,440 | 83.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,200 | $0 | |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | 1,438 | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | 1,163 | 63.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$742 | $0 | |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 1,000 | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | −$692 | |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | No | 360 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 39 | 66.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$26 | −$116 |
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