sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

GenaTheBondKilIer

0xd63…8afb@GenaTheCroco
PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$30.4kvol $2.13M
PnL 30d−$181gains $9,024 · losses $4,908
PnL 7d−$1,697win rate 7d 29.3%
Win rate50.9%adj 50.9% · 30d 40.4%
Open value$4,422cash n/a
Positions101 / 1,315open / all-time
Max drawdown−8.4%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$32.1kbelow peak −$35Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

67/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale64
Adjusted win rateraw 50.9% · shrunk toward 50%27
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No39992¢97.2¢$388+$21$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?No38972.3¢72.5¢$282+$0.86$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026?No25075.1¢91.4¢$228+$41$0
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes28237¢68.5¢$193+$89$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Yes45259.2¢40.5¢$183−$84+$0.23
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No30651.2¢56.5¢$173+$16+$31
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?No16189¢94.5¢$152+$8.76$0
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No15092¢97.6¢$146+$8.32$0
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes18169.4¢80.5¢$146+$20$0
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?No61237.1¢22.5¢$138−$89+$30
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Yes46815¢25.5¢$119+$49+$125
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?No12087¢89¢$107+$2.40$0
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes21045.7¢47.9¢$101+$4.69+$173
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes3390¢29.5¢$100+$100$0
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No34730.5¢28.5¢$99−$6.89$0
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes23743.7¢41.1¢$97−$6.19$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes50019¢18.5¢$93−$2.50$0
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on October 31, 2026?No10457¢77.5¢$80+$21$0
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on October 31, 2026?No8563¢91.9¢$78+$25−$11
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?Yes34118.7¢22.5¢$77+$13+$61
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?No7488.3¢95.5¢$71+$5.35+$0.53
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No40027¢16.5¢$66−$42$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes10030¢64.5¢$65+$35$0
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes20.0k0.1¢0.3¢$60+$40+$45
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?No15059.3¢39¢$58−$30−$2.20
Will four or more people dissent the October Fed decision?Yes57520.4¢10¢$57−$60−$0.22
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No5455.4¢99.5¢$53+$24−$2.57
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes21826.1¢23¢$50−$6.70−$23
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Yes1,8132.3¢2.5¢$44+$2.86+$0.02
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes10022¢43.5¢$44+$22$0
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Yes13324¢31.5¢$42+$9.96+$5.05
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?No4379.8¢90¢$39+$4.44$0
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?No4085¢95.5¢$38+$4.18$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes2099.3¢17.6¢$37+$17+$80
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes1,0363.5¢3.6¢$37+$0.29$0
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?No4676.7¢77.5¢$35+$0.35$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes9334¢34¢$32+$0.04+$111
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No8049¢39¢$31−$8.00$0
Will Ali Khamenei rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?No4070¢76.5¢$31+$2.60$0
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes24912¢12¢$30$0$0
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?No3670¢82.5¢$30+$4.51−$0.28
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?Yes9741.4¢30.5¢$30−$11$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes20018.9¢14.6¢$29−$8.70$0
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?No3084.3¢93.5¢$28+$2.75$0
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes2119.2¢12.2¢$26+$6.26$0
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?No3767.4¢68.5¢$25+$0.40−$0.52
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No250¢100¢$25+$25$0
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $6.00T and $6.50T at the end of 2026?No2984¢77.5¢$23−$1.91$0
Will Apple’s market capitalization be at least $6.00T at the end of 2026?No2388¢95.1¢$22+$1.66−$0.42
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?No2807¢7.5¢$21+$1.40+$8.60
Will Apple’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of 2026?No2086¢94.4¢$19+$1.68$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?No2060¢94.4¢$19+$6.88$0
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes25610¢7.2¢$19−$7.11+$0.76
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7,0521.3¢0.3¢$18−$73+$158
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on October 31, 2026?Yes4082.3¢4.2¢$17+$7.70+$115
Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes7517.9¢18.5¢$14+$0.41$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes828.4¢13.9¢$11+$4.41$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes1547.2¢6.9¢$11−$0.54$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes2254.2¢4.2¢$9.34−$0.11+$11
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2027?Yes4630¢20¢$9.10−$4.55+$6.78
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes38544.5¢2.3¢$8.86−$163$0
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes530¢16.5¢$8.71+$8.71$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?Yes3,2820.3¢0.3¢$8.21−$1.64$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.25 on October 31, 2026?Yes1445.7¢5.2¢$7.49−$0.77$0
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?No1079¢78¢$7.49−$0.10$0
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?No882¢96¢$7.40+$1.08−$6.40
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes1061.7¢6.4¢$6.78+$4.98$0
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?OpenAI1921¢31.5¢$5.88+$1.96$0
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes725.7¢8¢$5.76+$1.66$0
Will Venezuela become 51st state?No594.9¢98¢$4.90+$0.15$0
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes400¢10.5¢$4.20+$4.20$0
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be at least $6.50T at the end of 2026?Yes2015¢20.5¢$4.10+$1.10$0
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?No3325.5¢12.5¢$4.10−$4.25+$4.91
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes628.3¢62.5¢$3.49+$1.91+$87
Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes6,8820.1¢0.1¢$3.44−$4.47$0
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on October 31, 2026?Yes288¢11.6¢$3.19+$0.99+$9.80
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes837.2¢3.8¢$3.15−$2.82$0
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5820.3¢0.4¢$2.04+$0.29$0
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?No1085¢19.2¢$1.92−$6.58$0
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes415.1¢4.6¢$1.90−$0.20+$38
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes2025¢9.5¢$1.90−$3.10$0
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes554.2¢3.4¢$1.88−$0.43$0
Will the Ornn A100 Index be less than $0.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes3120.2¢0.5¢$1.72+$0.97$0
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes2820¢0.6¢$1.69+$1.69$0
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes426¢3.3¢$1.36−$1.15$0
Will Edmundo González be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes1,0300.1¢0.1¢$1.03$0$0
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes131.5¢7.6¢$1.02+$0.82+$0.50
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes5860.2¢0.2¢$0.88−$0.29$0
Will the Ornn A100 Index be at least $1.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes1473¢0.5¢$0.81−$3.62+$23
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes5360.4¢0.2¢$0.80−$1.29$0
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes285.3¢2.9¢$0.79−$0.67+$22
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes265¢50.5¢$0.78−$0.22$0
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?Yes1412¢2.9¢$0.41−$1.27+$10
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?Yes800.2¢0.2¢$0.16$0$0
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes1310¢1¢$0.13−$1.20+$2.71
Will Marco Rubio be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes50.1¢1.9¢$0.10+$0.09+$11
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?Yes2533¢0.3¢$0.06−$8.25$0
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes400¢0.2¢$0.06+$0.06$0
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes7001.3¢0¢$0−$9.14$0
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes7001.3¢0¢$0−$9.14$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?2.3¢245$5.6451%67
BUY YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?2.3¢1,644$3951%67
BUY YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?2.1¢413$8.5851%67
BUY NoWill the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?71.5¢199$14251%67
BUY YesWill Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?40.6¢20$8.1451%67
BUY YesWill the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?46.9¢82$3851%67
BUY YesWill the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?44.9¢128$5751%67
SELL YesWill a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?24¢580$13951%67
BUY YesWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?24¢153$3751%67
BUY NoWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on October 31, 2026?94.9¢20$1951%67
BUY NoWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on October 31, 2026?94.9¢100$9551%67
BUY YesWill Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?65¢2$1.0051%67
BUY YesWill the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?19¢380$7251%67
BUY YesWill the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.50 on December 31, 2026?12.1¢80$9.6851%67
BUY NoWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?77.7¢198$15451%67
SELL YesWill a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?26¢400$10451%67
SELL NoWill the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?50¢235$11751%67
BUY YesWill Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?19¢342$6551%67
BUY NoWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?52¢38$2051%67
BUY NoWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?52¢68$3551%67