PnL all-time+$23vol $32.5k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$681cash n/a
Positions5 / 27open / all-time
Max drawdown−1.4%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$23below peak −$3.44Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale19
Adjusted win rateraw 50.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable48
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3600 on August 4 at 5PM ET? · Yesclosed+$16Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday? · Noclosed+$8.18Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May? · Noclosed+$7.63Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? · Noopen+$5.94Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120,000 and $122,000 on November 3? · Noclosed+$2.12
Worst markets
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March? · Yesopen−$3.44Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025? · Yesopen−$2.48Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy by May 31? · Noclosed−$2.10Will another party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election? · Noclosed−$1.97Will Jamal Musiala win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? · Noclosed−$1.88
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? | No | 681 | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $681 | +$5.94 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025? | Yes | 620 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.48 | $0 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March? | Yes | 454 | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.44 | $0 | |
| Will Russell Henley win The 2025 U.S. Open? | Yes | 410 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.64 | $0 | |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of November 17 above $170? | Yes | 250 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.75 | $0 |
Recent trades
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