sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,694

Marco-Rubio

0xd67…5780@PM_SOS
PnL 50k+PnL 10k+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$78.1kvol $5.97M
PnL 30d−$199gains $3,974 · losses $4,374
PnL 7d+$509win rate 7d 60.0%
Win rate52.8%adj 52.7% · 30d 59.6%
Open value$44.7kcash n/a
Positions21 / 1,209open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.4%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$80.1kbelow peak −$1,609Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 52.8% · shrunk toward 50%32
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 21

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Iran Nuke before 2027?No10.0k89.8¢96.5¢$9,645+$663$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?No7,80597.9¢100¢$7,801+$158$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No5,00082.6¢96.2¢$4,810+$680$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No5,25088.6¢88.5¢$4,646−$6.23$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No4,50090¢97¢$4,363+$314$0
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?No3,49975.1¢73.5¢$2,572−$55$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No4,00063¢63.5¢$2,540+$20+$29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No10.9k20.4¢22.5¢$2,445+$232−$587
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No2,50046.9¢51.5¢$1,287+$115$0
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No1,00087¢96.9¢$969+$99+$40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No1,54757.2¢58.5¢$905+$20$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No1,70844¢42.5¢$726−$26$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?No1,34044.4¢44¢$589−$5.38+$18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?Yes2,25323¢22.5¢$507−$11$0
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by September 30?No50084¢99.1¢$495+$75$0
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes4,50934.3¢4.5¢$203−$1,343−$9.45
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes1,8077.6¢7.5¢$136−$1.13−$32
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes44610.4¢7.4¢$33−$14$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No4024¢79.5¢$32+$22$0
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 22?Yes2629.8¢10.5¢$2.73−$5.01$0
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 28?Yes527¢11¢$0.55−$0.80$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?57¢1,201$68553%68
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?44¢1,708$75153%68
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?20¢6,999$1,40053%68
SELL YesPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?34¢1,851$62953%68
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?10¢3,755$37653%68
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?60¢2,302$1,38153%68
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?43.9¢1,046$46053%68
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?31¢805$25053%68
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?10¢5,961$59653%68
BUY NoIran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?79.6¢1,508$1,20153%68
BUY NoIran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?72.5¢150$10953%68
BUY NoIran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?70.5¢1,111$78453%68
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?28¢4,000$1,12053%68
SELL YesIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?86.1¢2,412$2,07553%68
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?6¢26$1.5853%68
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?9¢2,000$18053%68
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?6¢2,159$13053%68
BUY NoSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?99¢2,000$1,98053%68
BUY NoSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?99¢4,000$3,96053%68
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?28¢1,000$28053%68